Kevin Roose

And I think there are a lot of people in the tech industry who are very excited about these tools because it's letting them, you know, build a bunch of stuff very quickly.

But as I'm hearing from more people in white-collar knowledge work fields...

They're just very anxious right now.

People are really uncertain.

They don't know if the skills they're building are obsolete.

College students don't know what they should be studying so they can get a job after they graduate.

People are really getting nervous about how quickly this technology is improving and the possibility that it could make the future look very different.

I mean, my honest prediction is that a year from now, these agentic tools will be dramatically better, right?

They'll handle big, complex problems.

You won't have to hold their hand as much.

They will become full-fledged members of the workforce.

And a lot of companies will still do things the old way because institutions are very slow to change, as we know.

But there will be this sort of new kind of company that is emerging with AI

work at the center of it.

And I think that's going to be a really fast-growing part of the economy.

I think the job market impacts that we're starting to see hints of today will become much clearer a year from now.

But honestly, I lose a lot of visibility myself.

I mean, I have stopped trying to predict more than about six months out because that's about as far as I can see right now.

I would not have predicted a year ago when vibe coding first came into my consciousness that it was going to be capable of doing all of this today.

So I think the most we can say right now is these tools are getting better at a very fast and accelerating rate and that they keep doing things that are surprising and useful.