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Konstantin Kisin

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
7894 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

Now, I want to emphasize that current AIs are nowhere close to this.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

You and I can say, we can do physical work.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

We can work in a factory, we can go mow the lawn, we can pick up this cup.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

Robots are not good enough to do that yet.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

So the fact that robotics is not there yet already means that we're far from that big definition of AGI.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

Wait, robots can't pick up a cup?

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

They can, but they have to... My understanding is that they have to be trained in specific environments where they'll have seen, this is what this house looks like, and I need a specific kind of cup that I'm dexterous enough to pick up.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

But if you replace this with one that's more circular and is tougher to grip...

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

You and I don't need to have seen that house a hundred times to then just go in and pick it up.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

The robot just needs a tremendous amount of data to be flexible in these ways, or it's not flexible in those ways.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

So being AGI would be able to be able to learn as fast as humans, not just have that distilled knowledge.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

Now the labs say, okay, fine, robotics is hard, it might take a while, but let's try something easier.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

We'll just do all knowledge work.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

And knowledge work is basically anything that you could do with a Zoom subscription and a Gmail account and Google Drive account.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

All this work that doesn't involve manipulating the physical world.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

I still think we're not there yet.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

There's a tremendous amount of work that has to be done even there.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

But this is easier because everything that happens on a computer

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

it's easier to feed that data into an AI, right?

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

It's like all being generated on a computer.