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Konstantin Kisin

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
7894 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

You can run simulations, you can just run it millions and millions and millions of times, and AI is just thriving on data, right?

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

The more data you have, the better it gets this thing.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

This is why it's so good at software engineering because there's all this code out there that you can train it on.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

With robotics,

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

there's no equivalent of just billions of lines of code that just exist somewhere.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

There's not these trillions of video files.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

It's not just video files.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

The robot has to feel itself.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

manipulating the world and seeing the effect it has.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

I've just described what it is.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

Let me say what it would mean if that were achieved.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

They say that 40% of the labor force is doing work that can be done remotely.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

That is on the order of tens of trillions of dollars of wages that are being paid to humans every single year to do work that can be done remotely.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

Currently, labs are making on the order, if you just add up all the revenues, how much money OpenAI and Anthropic and Google are making, they're making, I don't know, the numbers keep exploding, so who knows what the most recent numbers are, but they'd say close to $40-$50 billion.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

We're talking about an addressable market here with all knowledge work that is tens of trillions of dollars.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

So literally a thousand X bigger than what they're doing right now.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

So it explains why they're interested in it.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

It would also mean that a lot of people's jobs would be gone.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

It would also mean... It would mean a lot of things, right?

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

It would mean... It's a terrible thing in one sense.