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Konstantin Kisin

πŸ‘€ Speaker
9266 total appearances
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TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

uh the animals in your zoo doing a revolution it's not really gonna like make the government not work anymore um so yeah that's one i mean another thing that's sort of tougher to think about is the future in general will be so much richer whether humans are in control of it or not or how many humans are in control of it and so it will just make sense just from very small amounts of philanthropy as a fraction of the wealth that some people or some ais will have in the future we take a very small fraction of it to make everybody much better off than they are today

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

We're giving people millions of every single person millions of dollars would be a small fraction of like, you know, I've got Elon Musk wants to build a mass driver on the moon and colonize the solar system.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

And it takes a small fraction of that to just make everybody incredibly rich.

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

But it's still skyrocketing inequality.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

And so, yeah, you could have a world where the gap is way, way, way wider, but everybody's still better off.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

And I think even in that world, I would say, well, okay, but still, if the AIs are building the mass driver of the moon, I think that entitles all humans to much more of the products of that productivity explosion.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

Yeah.

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

So there's an inequality problem, maybe to just raise another.

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

I think...

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

The AIs have the potential to make authoritarian societies much more sustainable and powerful than they have been in the past.

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

100%.

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

So we talked about the fact that the robot arms are running everything in the future.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

Here's another angle, mass surveillance.

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

100%.

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

Right now in the US, there's 100 million CCTV cameras.

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

Okay, so suppose that each of those cameras, you take a frame every 10 seconds and you have an AI process it.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

And just you can do the back of the envelope calculations here of like, okay, if you have models that can process video frames that it costs a certain amount of cents to do each frame, how much would it cost to process all 100 million CCTV cameras in America?

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

And it's $30 billion.

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

Okay, now that's not that much.

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

Every year, a given level of AI capabilities gets 10x cheaper.