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Konstantin Kisin

πŸ‘€ Speaker
9266 total appearances
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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

And in fact, it doesn't just go to capital per se, it doesn't just go to

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

I mean, it goes to capital holders, but it disproportionately goes to the parts of capital that are most exposed to AI.

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

So the purchase that most Americans have to capital is through their homes.

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

A house is maybe the... If you're trying to design an instrument that is going to be the least implicated in the AI takeoff, it would be a random plot of land

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

near other humans, because humans won't matter in this future economy, that is not connected to the infrastructure for AI, to electricity, in a big way, etc.

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

But really what the capital that will matter is you have equity in these AI companies.

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

You have equity in companies that build more compute, build more data centers, build more factories.

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

It's a very small fraction of capital holders, in fact, the ones that are going to get the rents from our economy.

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

Now, I'm a very libertarian person by inclination, but if I just look at this dynamic, I'm forced to say, look, this justifies a huge amount of redistribution because the logic for free markets

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

is there's many different reasons um a big one is signal right so if you let prices be determined by the market it tells people what is the most acute valuable need for scarce resources that will still continue being the case and so um there should still be elements of markets in the future but another big part of his incentives is to incentivize people to work hard to make productive things and if all the work is being done by ais that will work hard

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

and do valuable things regardless of whether they get a $10 million payment, or more precisely, whether the person who owns the AI gets paid $1 billion or $100 billion or whatever, then I think that the logic of extreme libertarianism is really much weaker, right?

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

It does justify a lot more redistribution.

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

Right.

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

I mean, especially because...

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

Historically, you have a revolution because most of the people in your military... You have to win over your military.

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

You have to win over the government.

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

You have to just, like... Your government runs on the people you need to command.

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

And so revolutions are possible because it would be easy for the robots to do revolution because they're running the society in the future.

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

For the humans, we're not.

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People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

It's sort of equivalent to, like...