Krystal Ball

That's why I started the escalation trap, because we moved the troops.

Well, if we unmoved the troops, now you're following the indicators that Professor Pape uses, which is the behavioral indicators.

That's how you'll know you're actually out of the trap.

And I think the way that a lot of people understand the escalation trap is that it's fairly determinative and that each step pushes you further into it.

But at some point, presumably, this is going to end.

So what, like...

How does the model account for other decision making that gets out of the escalation, Trump?

Let's say this MOU does stick.

Does that mean the model was flawed and needs to be amended?

Or are there elements within the model that allow for this?

The elements in the model, as I've been explaining, and this is what I lay out, is you had stage one, stage two, which is stage two is where Iran gets Hormuzed.

Then you're at a fork in the road.

Stage three, more escalation by Trump.

Stage four, we accept acquiesce to Iran becoming the fourth center of world power, and we withdraw our forces.

We literally withdraw our forces.

So that's the four stages that I've laid out.

And on my live videos, I go through this almost every two weeks.

So I've got the graphics and so forth.

I'm glad to send you the graphics, by the way.

And so this is where we are.