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Kyle Harper

👤 Person
733 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Why Rome Actually Fell: Plagues, Slavery, & Ice Age — Kyle Harper

They don't think of it in terms of a biological event or climatic event.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Why Rome Actually Fell: Plagues, Slavery, & Ice Age — Kyle Harper

And since that's come up and you've invited, I'll say a little bit about that.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Why Rome Actually Fell: Plagues, Slavery, & Ice Age — Kyle Harper

But this is one of the other –

Dwarkesh Podcast
Why Rome Actually Fell: Plagues, Slavery, & Ice Age — Kyle Harper

really exciting frontiers where we're learning new things about the human past that we just didn't know 10 or 15 years ago, that in this case, we now have really, really cool paleoclimate data that helps us understand that this period of the 6th and 7th century was also a period of really abrupt and significant natural climate change.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Why Rome Actually Fell: Plagues, Slavery, & Ice Age — Kyle Harper

And so we're all familiar with like anthropogenic climate change, the carbon emissions stay in the atmosphere, trap heat, humans are changing the climate.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Why Rome Actually Fell: Plagues, Slavery, & Ice Age — Kyle Harper

It's a big problem.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Why Rome Actually Fell: Plagues, Slavery, & Ice Age — Kyle Harper

We can talk about it if you want.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Why Rome Actually Fell: Plagues, Slavery, & Ice Age — Kyle Harper

I just like to clarify that like that view is not incompatible with the reality that the climate does also change for natural reasons on every timescale from like really long geological timescales to much shorter timescales.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Why Rome Actually Fell: Plagues, Slavery, & Ice Age — Kyle Harper

So we live in the Holocene.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Why Rome Actually Fell: Plagues, Slavery, & Ice Age — Kyle Harper

The last 11,700 years have been pretty –

Dwarkesh Podcast
Why Rome Actually Fell: Plagues, Slavery, & Ice Age — Kyle Harper

It's stable, pretty warm.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Why Rome Actually Fell: Plagues, Slavery, & Ice Age — Kyle Harper

It's an interglacial.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Why Rome Actually Fell: Plagues, Slavery, & Ice Age — Kyle Harper

We're literally between ice ages right now.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Why Rome Actually Fell: Plagues, Slavery, & Ice Age — Kyle Harper

It's been really stable in the big picture.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Why Rome Actually Fell: Plagues, Slavery, & Ice Age — Kyle Harper

Yet, even within that stability, there are smaller scale climate variations and climate changes.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Why Rome Actually Fell: Plagues, Slavery, & Ice Age — Kyle Harper

Because we need to understand how the Earth system works, how the climate system works in order to be able to model what's happening.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Why Rome Actually Fell: Plagues, Slavery, & Ice Age — Kyle Harper

We need an empirical record of what the climate has done.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Why Rome Actually Fell: Plagues, Slavery, & Ice Age — Kyle Harper

So for historians, this is like great news because now we have a huge number of sometimes even pretty high resolution climate reconstructions for historical periods across the Holocene.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Why Rome Actually Fell: Plagues, Slavery, & Ice Age — Kyle Harper

And so we now know – like we did not know this 20 years ago when I started graduate school, say, that –

Dwarkesh Podcast
Why Rome Actually Fell: Plagues, Slavery, & Ice Age — Kyle Harper

The Roman period experienced some really abrupt episodes of climate change.