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Larry Sabato

👤 Person
156 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov
Peering Into the Crystal Ball (feat. Larry Sabato)

What influences them is what helps them in their daily lives. They're heavily concentrated in middle class and lower middle class. And those independents, as I say, are busy earning a living or busy living their lives. They don't have a lot of extra time. They certainly don't pay attention to public affairs as much as they should.

Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov
Peering Into the Crystal Ball (feat. Larry Sabato)

What influences them is what helps them in their daily lives. They're heavily concentrated in middle class and lower middle class. And those independents, as I say, are busy earning a living or busy living their lives. They don't have a lot of extra time. They certainly don't pay attention to public affairs as much as they should.

Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov
Peering Into the Crystal Ball (feat. Larry Sabato)

Well, there's a bit of a satirical element to a crystal ball. Our slogan is, he who lives by the crystal ball ends up eating ground glass. And we've had plenty of ground glass like every other analyst, so I don't want to pretend that we've always been right. Anyway, what are we predicting so far?

Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov
Peering Into the Crystal Ball (feat. Larry Sabato)

Well, there's a bit of a satirical element to a crystal ball. Our slogan is, he who lives by the crystal ball ends up eating ground glass. And we've had plenty of ground glass like every other analyst, so I don't want to pretend that we've always been right. Anyway, what are we predicting so far?

Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov
Peering Into the Crystal Ball (feat. Larry Sabato)

Well, there's a bit of a satirical element to a crystal ball. Our slogan is, he who lives by the crystal ball ends up eating ground glass. And we've had plenty of ground glass like every other analyst, so I don't want to pretend that we've always been right. Anyway, what are we predicting so far?

Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov
Peering Into the Crystal Ball (feat. Larry Sabato)

It would be nearly impossible to predict that Republicans would hold the House, although we've just published an analysis in the crystal ball from some distinguished political scientists who have used another measure that has been ignored for the most part. What does the public think will happen? Which party do they believe will hold on?

Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov
Peering Into the Crystal Ball (feat. Larry Sabato)

It would be nearly impossible to predict that Republicans would hold the House, although we've just published an analysis in the crystal ball from some distinguished political scientists who have used another measure that has been ignored for the most part. What does the public think will happen? Which party do they believe will hold on?

Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov
Peering Into the Crystal Ball (feat. Larry Sabato)

It would be nearly impossible to predict that Republicans would hold the House, although we've just published an analysis in the crystal ball from some distinguished political scientists who have used another measure that has been ignored for the most part. What does the public think will happen? Which party do they believe will hold on?

Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov
Peering Into the Crystal Ball (feat. Larry Sabato)

Well, it's early, but even the early predictions often have been right from the public. And they seem to think Republicans will hang on to both the House and Senate. I don't buy it. Some of my colleagues do. I think the odds are substantial that Democrats will carry the House. We don't know the margin. We can't even guesstimate the margin. I think it could go up to around 20 seats.

Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov
Peering Into the Crystal Ball (feat. Larry Sabato)

Well, it's early, but even the early predictions often have been right from the public. And they seem to think Republicans will hang on to both the House and Senate. I don't buy it. Some of my colleagues do. I think the odds are substantial that Democrats will carry the House. We don't know the margin. We can't even guesstimate the margin. I think it could go up to around 20 seats.

Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov
Peering Into the Crystal Ball (feat. Larry Sabato)

Well, it's early, but even the early predictions often have been right from the public. And they seem to think Republicans will hang on to both the House and Senate. I don't buy it. Some of my colleagues do. I think the odds are substantial that Democrats will carry the House. We don't know the margin. We can't even guesstimate the margin. I think it could go up to around 20 seats.

Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov
Peering Into the Crystal Ball (feat. Larry Sabato)

If it's an anti-Trump landslide, obviously higher than that, more than that, as it was in 2018. But the Senate, there's a tiny chance Democrats could take control. But look at the map. You know, the normal balance in the Senate, if you look at the map, according to the red and blue divisions that exist in America today, is about 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats.

Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov
Peering Into the Crystal Ball (feat. Larry Sabato)

If it's an anti-Trump landslide, obviously higher than that, more than that, as it was in 2018. But the Senate, there's a tiny chance Democrats could take control. But look at the map. You know, the normal balance in the Senate, if you look at the map, according to the red and blue divisions that exist in America today, is about 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats.

Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov
Peering Into the Crystal Ball (feat. Larry Sabato)

If it's an anti-Trump landslide, obviously higher than that, more than that, as it was in 2018. But the Senate, there's a tiny chance Democrats could take control. But look at the map. You know, the normal balance in the Senate, if you look at the map, according to the red and blue divisions that exist in America today, is about 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats.

Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov
Peering Into the Crystal Ball (feat. Larry Sabato)

So Democrats really do have to be riding something of a wave, probably in two elections, to take control of the Senate again, because the normal majority is about what they have right now, 53-47 for the Republicans. That's because of the system the founders set up, which I published a book, A More Perfect Constitution, 23 Changes to the Constitution.

Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov
Peering Into the Crystal Ball (feat. Larry Sabato)

So Democrats really do have to be riding something of a wave, probably in two elections, to take control of the Senate again, because the normal majority is about what they have right now, 53-47 for the Republicans. That's because of the system the founders set up, which I published a book, A More Perfect Constitution, 23 Changes to the Constitution.

Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov
Peering Into the Crystal Ball (feat. Larry Sabato)

So Democrats really do have to be riding something of a wave, probably in two elections, to take control of the Senate again, because the normal majority is about what they have right now, 53-47 for the Republicans. That's because of the system the founders set up, which I published a book, A More Perfect Constitution, 23 Changes to the Constitution.

Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov
Peering Into the Crystal Ball (feat. Larry Sabato)

Not one of them has happened since I published a book in 2007. It's been very hurtful to me personally, but I don't think the Senate should be structured the way it is. When you have four senators from two Dakotas And I've spent some time in both Dakotas, and you can't tell them apart. I'm sorry. There's no reason why they should have four senators.

Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov
Peering Into the Crystal Ball (feat. Larry Sabato)

Not one of them has happened since I published a book in 2007. It's been very hurtful to me personally, but I don't think the Senate should be structured the way it is. When you have four senators from two Dakotas And I've spent some time in both Dakotas, and you can't tell them apart. I'm sorry. There's no reason why they should have four senators.

Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov
Peering Into the Crystal Ball (feat. Larry Sabato)

Not one of them has happened since I published a book in 2007. It's been very hurtful to me personally, but I don't think the Senate should be structured the way it is. When you have four senators from two Dakotas And I've spent some time in both Dakotas, and you can't tell them apart. I'm sorry. There's no reason why they should have four senators.