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Latif Nasser

Appearances

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1049.993

I know, I was going to say, do economists have some kind of wonky name for this?

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1057.68

Jeff, it is yours. Yours is the name.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1069.004

And why that? Because remember, do you remember Thomas Malthus? Yeah. And if I remember, his whole thing was like, you tell me what his whole thing was like.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

109.798

Except, she goes on to say, for us.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1141.761

Right. Right? What is like the green revolution or whatever, right? Is that right? The fertilizer revolution.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1152.129

Please. I love the guano story. We can do it quickly. I know the guano story, but I love the guano story. And I want to hear you tell the guano story.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1177.468

Guano. Guano. Which is basically just bird poop.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

120.646

So what she did is she took the average gross domestic product worldwide, and that's a rough measure of economic growth, and that had been growing recently around 3%, which for economists is like a happy little growth number.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1239.068

And that is on the order of like alchemy discovery. Like that is like this thing that is super abundant in the air all around us. It is literally the majority of the air. But it was unusable, and then there was a hack where we then figured out how to make it usable. That seems like—that's like a miraculous technological breakthrough.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1272.26

I like it. I like it. And the swerve—so the swerve is like—it's like when you say swerve, I'm picturing like it's like— A car about to collide into a cliff and then right at the last second, whoop, swerves out of the way.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1289.12

And Malthus is driving the car thinking that, of course, we're going to hit the cliff. Really, it's like the passenger who then just like yanks the steering wheel. It's like, nope, not going to happen. Right at the last second, we figured it out.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1311.239

I find this somewhat of a relief. It is sort of encouraging, but it also seems like there's so much drama here. Yeah. Yeah. there might be a time where we can't swerve in time. Like what happens if and when we can't swerve in time? And also I would argue sometimes the swerves Sometimes we swerve right into another cliff.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1346.476

So, for example, the example you talked about, from charcoal to coal, which is great for the trees, except after a while, it's also bad for the trees, right? It's like global rising temperatures lead to wildfires, lead to trees not able to grow where they once were able to grow. It's true.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1369.346

more time fair right we've bought ourselves more time but then we just always use that time to step on the gas to the next thing right and then maybe when we do swerve then we swerve into something worse something that causes you know war or exploitation or or or just messes up the planet in a way that you that is unswerve backable from i mean yes that is all totally right uh it is a mess

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

138.025

But Sandra took that 3%. And with some quick math, she started to just play it out year after year. And in her lecture, she's showing this chart where you can see this curve just shooting up.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1408.22

Actually, first, we're going to swerve to break, but only for a minute. Then we'll swerve back and step on the gas directly towards a currently oncoming cliff.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1455.33

Oh, we're in the middle of the Malthusian oil.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1467.998

Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. No, and even before that, like I think in the 70s and stuff, like it's like we keep having this conversation over and over again, peak oil, peak oil, peak oil.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1490.79

Well, you just said it in 52 years or whatever. Like, you just said it.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1533.695

But is that a swerve? Like, I mean, if we're—now we just found another way to get more fossil fuels. Like, is that even really a—that feels like we swerved and swerved right back in the same direction.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

155.939

And she was basically like, look at all that growth. That's eating up Earth's resources.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1557.755

But in a way, running out of oil isn't even necessarily the problem here. The problem is the thing it's doing for everything else.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1588.462

It's a much harder sell, though. It's a much harder sell to tell people we have too much of this thing that's going to hurt you as opposed to we have not enough of this thing. So take care of it.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1607.515

I love it. I love it. Keep doing it.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1621.196

Necessity is the mother of invention kind of thing.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1623.718

Desperation is the inventor's best friend.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1635.208

Yeah, exactly. Or, also...

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

167.227

And so even though Earth should be good for 100 million years, we're going to just eat the planet up. We're going to devour the physical, material level of this planet. We're going to eat it up in more like a couple thousand years.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1691.482

Yeah, but it just feels like a trap. And an especially capitalist kind of a trap where the only thing that will inspire us to innovate or to swerve, to use your word, is the immediate danger of the cliff. Like, I mean, we're talking about resources and economics, GDP, and blah, blah, blah. But really, this is all like a head game. It's like all like people's minds work in this very specific way.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1715.714

And long-term thinking is so hard for us. Yeah. And it's like we've got this system that leans into a thing that is already a problem with us and the way we think. It's like we're just going to use it as long as it's there. And when it starts to almost not be there, we'll figure out something else.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1762.546

But, like, we're all so smart enough to... Can't we figure out a system where we don't have to just drive into the cliff and swerve at the last minute every time? You know? Yeah. If this was your... And there was, I mean, this is such a weird analogy.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1777.094

There's only one car and you, whoever is in the driver's seat, really it's all of us, but whoever's in the driver's seat keeps driving pedal to the metal, accelerating faster and faster at cliffs.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1791.545

You would take their keys away. You'd be like, sorry, this, you are not fit to drive. It's scary. Yeah. I don't know. Why do we keep doing that then? Like, do you think growth is inevitable? Do you think growth is good? What do you... After all this, what is your take on growth in particular?

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

185.859

And when I heard that, that was breathtaking and horrifying. And honestly, I haven't been able to stop thinking about that number, 3%. It sounds like a specific thing, but also it's kind of abstract and mathy, and I wanted help. I wanted help to parse this out. Like, how bad is that really? How bad could that possibly be?

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1867.715

That's funny. That was probably the population of the entire Earth in Malcolm's time. Right?

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1885.728

Yeah, I agree with that. Like, we all have needs and there are increasingly more of us. But I do think that taking, like, I still am sort of struck by the Sandy Faber's, like, stone cold, like, zoom out. Mm-hmm. There's nothing that's wrong about that logic either. She just has seemingly a different priority than most economists, which is like she's thinking at a different scale. Yeah.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1921.812

So I should tell you, we actually ended up talking to Sandy Faber.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1936.704

And telling her about your Malthusian swerve idea.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1947.063

And the thing that she was most concerned about was that energy is just so wrapped up in all these different parts of our lives, basically everything we do. And it has these huge effects on the environment. She says we're actually dealing with a bunch of different cliffs and a bunch of different kinds of cliffs all at the same time.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

1970.965

Basically, we're facing a crisis of crises.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

211.633

And so I turned to someone whose job it is to literally make sense of this exact kind of thing. Hello.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

220.058

Hi, I'm doing well. How are you? And we had what I felt like was a kind of a roller coaster of a conversation. So I'm just going to play it for you right now.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

247.26

I need you. I need you to help me. It's more than scratch and itch. I need you to help me.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

255.345

That's exactly right. Yeah. Yeah.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

271.951

I mean, well, she won the National Medal of Science, not the Nobel.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

285.055

Yes, yes, yes. Oh, my gosh. I'm so excited.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

313.886

My favorite kind of math. My favorite kind of math. It's so hand-wavy.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

389.028

Using copper and needing copper the same way that we are. Yeah, yeah, sure. T minus 70.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

395.892

Okay. Okay. So then what, but then, so that's, this seems to point exactly to Sandy Faber's point, right?

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

405.549

Oh, that's the end of it? I thought you were going to be like, but there's a giant, there's a copper thing that we're going to, no, there's no but, that's it. It's just like, yeah, she's right about copper.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

417.792

Yeah, okay, okay, okay, okay, wait, you want to go through more of them before we get to the but? Is that the idea?

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

422.493

Okay, okay, okay, okay, okay, next one, okay, next one.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

457.615

Okay, that sounds like a lot. I don't even know.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

499.361

Okay. But it does seem like the whole point of sand is that it's like teeny tiny. It would take a lot of energy to turn that rock into sand.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

526.918

Wait, so a quintillion based on the growth rate and the uses now. I would imagine this one is going to be, this one is not on Sandra Faber's side. I'm going to guess this one is like way, way, way far from now. Like this is going to be like a million years or something.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

546.189

That seems so short again. It does, doesn't it? That is way shorter for the whole crust.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

55.1

Hey, this is Radiolab. I'm Latif Nasser. What got me thinking about economic growth was not all the stuff that's in the news, the tariffs, the fear of the recession, all that stuff that everybody's talking about. What started it was a lecture I heard a little while back by, of all people, an astrophysicist.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

553.433

Oh, my God. That's not... Like, it's long, but it's not that long. Like, that's like... That is nuts.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

562.479

This is just making me more and more existentially worried. Okay, but keep going.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

577.37

Okay, great. Good one. Good one. And lithium, you imagine there are like those giant deserts filled with those like sand flats or whatever, right?

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

587.8

Yeah. Okay. So this one will be again... Like I think this one... I feel like there's going to be a curveball in here where you're like, no, no, no, we haven't had enough for millions of years.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

620.089

Right. That's kind of... Okay, so that's like in phones, electric cars, da-da-da-da-da.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

644.568

Which is good, which is good, which means like more electric cars, more da-da-da-da, right? More recyclable batteries and stuff. That's great. Yeah.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

660.353

That sounds... A lot less than the sand. Like, this doesn't sound—this is going to get worrying. Okay, keep going.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

683.584

I feel like you're going to say, like, I feel like you're going to say, like, so soon. Tomorrow.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

691.01

Okay, 100 years again. Which is not bad. No, it is bad. It's bad, Jeff. It's bad. We need that. Like, we're going to need that later for even better stuff.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

709.315

But hopefully we're weaning off of this one. So maybe this one is a different.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

713.397

Like it's going in the opposite direction. Hopefully.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

720.462

I don't think you have had a single piece of good news here. Just wait for it. Okay. All right.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

756.205

Yeah, when you say it like that, it sounds quite alarming.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

764.508

But we do want to use less of it anyway. Right, yeah. I'm ambivalent about this. We're trying to. Yeah, yeah. Okay.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

772.16

No way. Yes. That is nothing.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

779.364

Wow. Maybe. Maybe. I was worried about when Sandra Faber said we had thousands of years and you're like, you're taking me even an order of magnitude less in that.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

79.334

Her name is Sandra Faber. She goes by Sandy. Brilliant scientist. She co-authored the Standard Model for Thinking About How Galaxies Form. She won a National Medal of Science back in 2011. And she started the lecture by saying, we have a pretty happy little planet to live on.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

873.559

I was just imagining the bellows. I was just imagining the bellows. Yes. Okay, cool. Okay. So that's the key innovation here.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

909.628

Which is charcoal is made out of wood. Is that right? No.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

914.209

So they're like slurping down forests, basically. Yes.

Planet Money

PM x Radiolab: Can the economy grow forever?

948.976

Because we have one tree left and everyone's about to cut it down. We got to save the trees. The tree.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1004.625

Okay. Lulu. Latif. Radiolab. Hotworms. And the place where the hotworms went next, which nobody could have ever predicted, only really happened because of a drug-induced biological fever dream. What? And that's the story I'm going to tell you now. Okay. So maybe no surprise, we're going to leave Indiana and jump instead to Berkeley, California.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1028.542

We're still in the late 1960s. Only now I want to tell you about a guy called Cary Mullis.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1035.084

He's a PhD student in biochemistry at UC Berkeley. But instead of being a lab, he seems to prefer experimenting in biochemistry by synthesizing his own LSD.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1048.467

He's literally famous on campus for doing this. Anyway, so he gets his degree, gets a job in a bio lab, but then he just hates like how many mice they kill all the time. And then he gets a job in a cafe. He's like, he's like this floating guy. Yeah. Until one day he's working in the coffee shop and a customer is like, Aren't you that guy who used to make your own LSD? And they get to talking.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1074.597

And eventually, this guy offers Carrie a job.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1079.139

At this biotech startup called Cetus.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1082.48

Now, just to give you a sense, at this point, we're in the late 70s. Today, science is on the threshold of a new era. And the thing that scientists everywhere, especially the scientists at Cetus, are obsessed with is DNA.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1102.416

They have this hunch that decoding DNA is going to unlock lots of secrets about the human body.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1112.586

And Cetus, the company where Carey Mullis got his job, they want to be on the cutting edge of this. And so they have teams of scientists trying to figure out how to read DNA. Okay. And their main problem at the time is that reading DNA is extremely, extremely hard.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1129.397

The whole process of trying to read or even just find and isolate, like, microscopically tiny little molecules of DNA, it was so inefficient that it was just not, it was non-starter. It was not feasible at all. So scientists at CETIS were scratching their heads trying to find a better way to do this.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1148.369

Now, Cary Mullis, he was not doing any of that. He was stuck doing very slow, very repetitive, boring lab work. But one day, he's out on a drive after work. I was driving along one night. Kerry Mullis actually died back in 2019, but while he was live, he did a bunch of interviews where he talks about this moment.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1170.643

Driving through the mountains on these windy, steep roads. It's super dark. It was really late at night. And in his mind, he's turning over the problems of reading DNA. The way he described it, he's like trying to read a piece of DNA at that time, was like trying to find a license plate on the interstate

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1189.574

In the middle of the night.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1191.415

From the moon. Okay. And then you still have to read it. So just impossible. Yeah, yeah, yeah. And all of his colleagues are focused on basically devising a more powerful, more precise telescope to spot the DNA. And he's thinking, like... How do you fix this thing? I mean, what do you do? And all of a sudden... He sees DNA everywhere.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1214.932

Blue and pink strands of DNA just floating in front of him as he was driving, like through the windshield.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1221.356

As he said it, they injected themselves somewhere between the mountain road and my eyes. He hadn't done any LSD that night, allegedly, but he says that he had done it so many times that he could almost get his mind there without having to take it. I mean, who knows? But like, it's almost like he's imagining himself riding a piece of DNA. And then he has this thought.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1254.656

that just snaps them right out of it. Everyone's working on a better and better telescope from the moon, right? Mm-hmm, right. What if instead you futz with the license plate? Like, what if you can make copies of the license plate?

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1284.093

A billion of them. It's as if the whole planet Earth now is covered in the license plate that you wanted to see. And all of a sudden, it's going to be way easier... To find it. Yeah, and therefore to read it.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1303.948

I think that's fine. I think that's fine. Like the only thing you need to know is he has this vision for a machine that's like kind of a DNA Xerox machine.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1312.492

And he's like, he's like, this is it. Like he talks about he had like deoxyribonuclear bombs going off in his head as he's driving. Like Eureka. Eureka. Yeah. Okay. He literally stops the car and writes it. He like looks in the glove compartment. He like finds an old receipt and he's like writing things down on the back of it. Oh my gosh. Okay.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1334.423

So he takes his idea into work, and everyone thinks it's really stupid.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1341.806

I think it's because it's such a simple idea. They're like, of course it's not going to work. But also, Carrie, he sucks. Oh. Basically, he sucks. He takes things very personally, gets into fights with colleagues at work all the time, literally a fist fight at one point. Allegedly, one day he brings a gun to work to threaten somebody. Oh, whoa.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

136.797

Hud says he actually did a science project while he was there.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1366.295

Yeah, Cary, right. But the thing is, Cary's sort of already working out in his head how this DNA Xerox machine theoretically would work. So you have a piece of DNA. Imagine like a long zipper. Because remember, DNA is, it's made up of matching base pairs. C's go with G's, A go with T's, right? And they're all zipped together.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1387.102

Now, in order to copy it, first you have to unzip it. Unzip it. So now you have two halves of it, right?

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1393.528

Then basically you find new base pairs to match up with each side of the zipper. Oh, yeah, right. For every G, you find a C. For every A, you find a T. You can kind of perfectly recreate the other half. Right. And then it's like you can zip it up with a new zipper, right? Right, right. Okay, then do it again. Unzip, and then copy both. Okay. And then you keep doing that over and over.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

141.221

About what it would take for a microbe to survive on Mars. And he says he just fell in love with the university, with the science he was learning there.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1414.844

Zip, unzip, zip, unzip. You do that 30 times, you have a billion zippers. Whereas you just started with one. Clever. By this point, he managed to convince his boss, who has assigned people by force to work with him, and they keep trying it and trying it. They're working on it for months, and they keep failing.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1438.96

One of the problems is to unzip it, for whatever chemical reason, the temperature needs to be really high. Okay. And then to re-zip it, the temperature needs to be lowered by a lot. Huh. And he notices this one part of the DNA zipper, like the slider, the thing that zips the DNA teeth together, is this enzyme called a polymerase. And he notices that any time he raises the temperature too high...

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1469.523

the polymerase falls apart without getting too in the weeds here. The polymerase is a protein. And typically, if proteins get too hot, they just sort of disintegrate. And so Cary and his team were like, oh, if only there was a polymerase somewhere that could live at this high temperature. So then someone from their team went to this library, this microbe library. Okay. And what did they find?

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1496.724

The hot worms. Thermos aquaticus.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1503.531

Yeah. And as Hudson Freeze explained to us, Thermos Aquaticus has its own polymerase.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1511.797

And again, because every part of TAC is evolved to take the heat, this polymerase, when you heat it up... It can survive without falling apart. So Kerry and his team are basically like, oh, this is exactly the thing we were looking for. Yeah. And they plug it into their machine and it basically works like a dream. as if it was made to do that. Oh, my God.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1537.543

Like, all of a sudden, they can add the Taq polymerase, run this reaction to replicate the DNA over and over. And before you know it, they have a billion copies of the gene snippet they're looking for.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1559.58

Whoa. And so the process that they invent, it's called... Polymerase chain reaction, or PCR. PCR. PCR.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1570.332

And it completely changed everything.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1580.518

Because PCR made it so much easier and faster to read DNA. Suddenly, scientists everywhere start using it.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1591.584

They finally decode the human genome and all the knowledge that comes with it.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1605.395

To put that a different way, every major scientific breakthrough that involves DNA in any way in the last several decades, it's all run on PCR. To detect genetic markers... Like diagnosing genetic diseases... Diseases including cystic fibrosis...

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1621.188

And sickle cell disease. Determining ancestry. Like, think of like 23andMe, Ancestry.com. All of that. The whole industry.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1632.42

We have... Forensic DNA testing to identify the suspect's DNA. The whole world of forensics, solving crimes with DNA evidence, or... Recent DNA evidence exonerated him. Proving people innocent. Even identifying bodies for things like reuniting loved ones after wars or natural disasters.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1657.594

Also another thing, this whole renaissance and learning about human origins.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1665.5

None of this stuff would have been possible without PCR.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1688.62

Crazy, right?

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1689.981

Okay, and here's my favorite example.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1696.185

The PCR test is the very same PCR that we used during the pandemic to test for COVID.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1704.668

The most reliable test. PCR was the sort of gold standard of a test.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1709.05

Multiplying COVID RNA so it was detectable.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1718.624

Yeah, and it's hard to know how many more people would have died without them.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

1723.854

Now, obviously, the development of PCR was not just Carey. It was this huge team effort. But in 1993... Dr. Carey Mullis, I now ask you to receive the Nobel Prize from the hands of His Majesty the King. Carey Mullis wins the Nobel Prize.

Radiolab

The Age of Aquaticus

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And, you know, I did ask Hudson Freeze, like, are you, like, bitter that you didn't win the Nobel Prize?

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Yeah. Like, I had a hand in this, like, amazing world-changing technology.

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This, by the way, is Radiolab producer Maria Paz Gutierrez.

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Yeah. Yeah, you're the scout. You're the talent scout who saw Michael Jordan. Yeah. Today, actually, Hudson Freeze works in an institute where they work on, like, rare genetic diseases, including and especially in children. Like, they use PCR all the time at his institute to help, you know, to help, like, to literally save lives, you know, make people's lives more livable.

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I find this like just a beautiful, beautiful story about what is life capable of? Like what can life even do? And in the end, like it really became this life-changing, life-saving discovery.

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So at the time, the scientific consensus was that nothing could live above 73 degrees Celsius, 163 degrees Fahrenheit. It was seen as kind of an upper limit on life.

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Yeah, like, just idle curiosity paying off way more and in ways that nobody could ever expect. Yeah. All of that came out of one $80,000 grant from the U.S. government. That's why Hudson Freeze and Thomas Brock, they won the Golden Goose Award in 2013.

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Well, I mean, when you put it next to what is going on in the news right now, which are all of these cuts, it feels like a tale of a thing that we are in danger of losing. Yeah.

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Yeah, but Thomas Brock had recently vacationed in Yellowstone and he had seen these hot springs where boiling hot water comes up from the interior of the earth. And he knew that if you go to these hot springs, you see around the edges where the water cools down, there's stuff alive there.

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Carl says a lot of the cuts to scientists and basic research are coming in the form of broad cuts at government agencies.

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It's just going to sit there and do nothing. Yeah.

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Like algae, bacteria, little spider mites, stuff like that. Okay. And he thought maybe this could be a place where he could find some little microbe that is defying that limit of life.

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I mean, is there some chance that businesses, like the private sector in general, would come in and fund all of this, like pick it up, pick it back up?

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Okay, Lulu, so I know we're in shambles here.

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But I kind of saved, there's one extra detail from the Hudson Freeze tax story, knowing that we would need a pick-me-up at the end here. Okay. Because it's like one of my favorite little details about this story. Please. Well, okay.

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In the late 1980s, a Berkeley paleobiologist... started using PCR to find DNA in ancient weevils. Okay. And the ancient weevils were found in amber. Okay. And it counts very little bit, but the story goes that the novelist Michael Crichton heard about that.

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And he's like, hey, Hud, would you like to go to Yellowstone?

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And he was like, huh, that's a great premise.

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So he wrote Jurassic Park, which is amazing because when we interviewed Hudson Freeze, his takeaway from his research was like, Life finds a way. And you're like, yeah, that's from a movie that was inspired by the thing you discovered.

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Yeah. Okay. Okay, so that's our episode for today. Big thank you, of course, to Hudson Freeze and our little friend Thermus Aquaticus. We didn't say this earlier, but his professor and co-author, Thomas Brock, died in 2021. And the song that Hudson Freeze sang at Thomas Brock's funeral?

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Thank you as well to Joanne Padron Carney. Also to her team, Aaron Heath, Valeria Sabate, Gwendolyn Bogard, Meredith Asbury, and Megan Cantwell at AAAS for being a tremendous help to this episode and for administering the Golden Goose Award. Thank you as well to Gregor Kavlik.

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and Derek Muller and the rest of the Veritasium team, who I actually collaborated with to do a YouTube video about this topic. They even go into how post-Nobel, Carey Mullis went totally off the deep end and lost all his scientific credibility. Check out that on YouTube.

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Catch you next week.

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And also for a, you know, small town kid from Indiana, like this seemed like a great adventure.

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Through the farmlands of Wisconsin, into the plains of the Dakotas. 20-some hours altogether. And he was like this doe-eyed kid just looking out the window. A lot of the Midwest is pretty flat. But then as he crossed into Montana... And I looked, looked out there.

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Hey, how you doing?

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Well, you're in luck because we're actually headed somewhere hot. Okay. Extremely hot. Can't wait. And our guide there, ironically enough. Hi. Hey.

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They drive into the park and then hike several miles up to these very remote hot springs. Have you ever seen those pictures of like, or have you ever visited?

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Should I send you a picture here? You want to see it?

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Oh, it's just beautiful. And there was one hot spring in particular that Brock and his team got interested in. Mushroom Spring. Mushroom Spring. At the center is a pool of water. It's about 30 feet across. Water at the center can reach 70 degrees Celsius, 160 degrees Fahrenheit. Steam coming off every direction. Surrounded by light gray rock and dead trees.

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And so they'd walk right up to the edge of this pool, trying to get as close as they could.

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Trawling, basically. Trawling for life. And the water is so hot that if they happen to fall into the spring... Oh, adios. Yeah. Luckily, no scientists were harmed in the doing of this research. But they got their samples. They took them back with them to their little shack lab.

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And what they do is they would add these radioactive chemicals that would react with stuff in the sample, whatever proteins or sugars or whatever. And that would be a sign of something living in there. And we actually proved that the material was actually alive.

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Is a scientist maimed.

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But what they still didn't know was if the living things in there had come from the center of the springs or, you know, if it had fallen from the outside or what exactly it was. So they took these samples back to Indiana University and it was HUD's job to see if the samples they got could really grow and thrive in super hot temperatures. Yeah, yeah.

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So now HUD's got all these samples and they're sitting in these hot water baths on all these burners so that each one is set to a different temperature. So it's starting a little cool, getting hotter, eventually going past that supposed limit that is too hot for anything to be alive.

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But he has to keep refilling these hot water baths.

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Because the water keeps burning up. Because the water keeps boiling up.

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So anyway... Day after day, he's tending to these little vials, always checking on them.

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So he's waiting, he's waiting. The liquid is clear. Day one, he's waiting. Day two, he's waiting. He's waiting a couple days.

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So he takes a look under a microscope, and what he sees are these little worms, kind of like cut-up spaghetti. Just floating around in there. And they're moving? And they're moving. Yeah, they're alive.

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Anyway. So the story that I brought Hud here to tell actually happened at the beginning of his career 60 years ago or something. But I've been thinking about this story a lot in the last couple months. Because, I don't know, every time, you know, like just a new headline comes out, which is like funding cuts to the National Science Foundation or National Institutes of Health or NASA.

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You know, according to the current thinking, like nothing should be able to live in here. But they were growing, they were reproducing, they were making more of them.

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They're thriving.

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Yeah. Yeah, yeah. But then Brock was like, Oh, no, no, no. We're not going to do that.

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We are going to call it Thermus Aquaticus.

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Thermus Aquaticus. TAC. TAC is short for Thermus Aquaticus.

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Hot water. It literally just means hot water.

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Well, so usually in hot water, the water molecules are just jostling around so much.

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But TAC has evolved proteins and enzymes that are more tightly structured. That's right. They can survive without falling apart. Which, beyond being a cool trick, opens up a door that life can do a whole new thing. Like, there's a whole new superpower that we didn't even know about.

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Life will be fine. We may not be fine, but life will be fine. Right.

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So I was like, oh my God, this is amazing. Like, was this on the cover of Time magazine? Yeah.

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And the rest of the world, the non-scientist world, was just like, well, who cares? And so they preserved a sample of TAC and they just put it in a kind of like a library of microbes. Yeah, yeah. It's a germ library. Beyond that, we didn't think about it. They moved on to other things. And then 50 or so years later, Hudson is sitting at his desk and he gets a call.

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Oh, Golden Goose.

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Thank you for joining us for the 11th annual Golden Goose Award ceremony. Right. OK, so you remember we did an episode about a couple of years back.

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We even sent one of our producers, Maria Vaz Gutierrez, to cover it, like, in red carpet.

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Right, right.

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It was held in Washington, D.C. How? In a big, fancy building near the Capitol.

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That's a good question. I am wearing a suit.

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It's a statement. With this windowpane, hello. But anyway, basically, it was an award created back in the 80s, 1980s, when Congress was ridiculing a lot of the government funding of basic scientific research. And, you know, there were like headlines all the time about like, we're wasting money spending, you know, funding a study about snail sex or whatever, whatever it was.

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And then the Golden Goose Award was sort of this tongue-in-cheek, nerdy response in the form of an award that goes to research that is funded by the government that sounds dumb or sounds useless, sounds absurd, but then turns out to completely change the world. Right. So now HUD is getting a call from them saying, tack. Deserves this award.

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Yeah. I guess maybe for now it's enough to say that Hudson Freeze's story, it kind of feels to me like a parable for the moment we are in right now. Okay, so let's just start way at the beginning. How did you get involved in any of this?