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Lennart Heim

👤 Person
531 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

And I think this is a large part why we currently see less compute in China versus in the US.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

Absolutely, yeah.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

I think, I mean, to some degree, this also might largely explain why we have like more frontier companies here, right?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

So I do, I would like, I would not argue against it that it's not one of the reasons.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

But even if you have the money and you can just buy it like less good chips, that's definitely going to hit you in the long run, right?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

And again, depending on where this goes, I think the point about extra controls, this has been that confusing thing with DeepSeq, it takes some time to buy it

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

And we had many failures, right?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

The first times they got the numbers wrong.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

Those are the chips they trained DeepSeq on, right?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

So we basically have only working X controls since, what is it, October 2023?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

It's a little bit more than a year, right?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

You don't build a cluster every new year.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

So I expect we will see like a major impact going forward if certain enforcement and things are being patched.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

And again, all of this also depends on will NVIDIA's chips continue to get exponentially better, right?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

To some degree, the good thing about computing is it gets exponentially better.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

Who cares about the computer built five years ago?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

Nobody uses that anymore, right?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

It's like my chips now are like 10 times better and I produce 10 times more of them.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

But if this would level off, then this might look actually different.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

They are.