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Lennart Heim

👤 Person
531 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

This is kind of what I'm expecting, right?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

The difference is just like, while TSMC is churning out 5 million chips per year, they're churning out less than a million chips and they need three times more chips to achieve the same performance, right?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

This is exactly the argument which I'm making here.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

And then, you're right, there are costs to this, right?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

These export controls, they used to say small yard, high fenced.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

I don't think that's the case, right?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

To some degree, when this originally started in 2022, this was before chativity.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

And I give the government a lot of credit for foresight here.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

Knowing that compute is cool, if people would have invested in 2022 into NVIDIA, they were still early.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

So they had this foresight.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

And then it was just like, oh, we only hit on these advanced AI chips which are being used for servers.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

Sure, AI was a niche application.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

But again, if you look at people like us, we believe AI is the future.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

AI is going to be everywhere.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

then this is not a small yard anymore, right?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

If I use AI to literally plan my day, cook my food, and everything else gets organized around me, then you have collateral damage, which hits on the broad economy.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

And this is just a thing which is simply true, right?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

And this is generally the challenge of governing dual-use technologies on these kinds of things.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

What I would say, though, is China still has access to AI services.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

They can still use Microsoft Azure.