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Lennart Heim

👤 Person
531 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

Absolutely.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

Well, I mean, we just talked about history.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

We talked about going from two chips to 100,000 chips.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

The two chips was not a transformer architecture.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

At some point, we developed transformers.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

You know, at some point, we had a new loss function.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

Me, as a technologist, I love when people develop new papers, but I'm interested in the macro trends.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

That's why I just love, like, line going up, compute Moore's law, more transistors per area.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

Generally, too.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

How do we do it?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

Completely different architectures over time.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

If you find the right abstraction layer, again, you see these exponentials being the case there.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

Then some people argue, like, oh, we have a new architecture that does this.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

And they're like, true.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

That's what happens all the time.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

This is what we call increasing algorithmic efficiency and computer efficiency.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

I think it's quite unlikely that somebody tomorrow pulls out a new architecture and says, oh, look, AGI on a smartphone.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

I don't think that's the case.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

I think we would first build AGI on a big cluster.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
China’s catching up to US AI… Here’s why it won’t matter

And then a couple of decades later, we would build it on a smartphone.