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Lewis Hart

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
368 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

That's a lot of working capital.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

So doing some rough math, that's tens of billions of dollars.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

Maybe it's more than 100 billion, but it's a massive number.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

And when all that gets trapped and you have potentially margin calls related to hedges on those inventories, that can really strain your liquidity if you don't have the right financing structure behind you.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

And that's why in these situations, you need a bank that understands your business.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

So-

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

If you were going to load an Afromax, which is like typically 700,000 barrels of oil, that's the capacity of an Afromax vessel.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

Before February 28th, the cost of that might be $40 million, $45 million.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

Today, it's more like $70, $75 million.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

And so overnight, the cost of your single shipment went up a significant amount.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

And how do you finance that?

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

Back to the earlier point, you need a bank that can be flexible enough to write a line of credit that allows you to do financing under a certain guideline.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

Yeah.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

So I think going back to COVID and then Russia-Ukraine, first you had this huge supply chain disruption.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

We all remember images of container ships off the coast of Long Beach.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

Two years later, we had the Russian invasion of Ukraine and this huge disruption in natural gas flows from Russia to Europe.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

people didn't forget about those things.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

So companies went out and raised more capital so that they were ready for the next exogenous event.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

So I think- Sorry, when you say companies- Commodity merchants.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

Okay.