Liam Donovan

And in similar ways, like you still need to have that D plus seven, D plus eight night to break through in those states.

But it's much easier to move the needle and to differentiate your race from the other things going on in the ballot in those states, those smaller markets and smaller electorates where just in terms of raw vote totals, you know, a relatively minor shift in Alaska or Iowa is going to go so much farther than in Texas where you're just trying to boil the ocean.

So I think Alaska has been another one where, like, I've seen this movie before.

I mean, there was a bit on Twitter in whatever it was, 2022, like, don't sleep on Alaska.

It's always the one that it's a different state.

It's a differentiated state where it's a relatively small electorate.

interesting demographics.

There's a there's a blue collar, you know, piece to it.

And they've shown a propensity to, you know, support Democrats, whether that's Mark Begich and go back to Tony Knowles, Peltola herself in that in that House race.

So there's enough variance there that there's opportunity.

I'd argue Dan Sullivan is

is a squeaky clean incumbent Marine vet, you know, to the extent that he had any challenges, it was probably met at the original threshold when he beat Mark baggage in 14.

Um, it's hard to beat an incumbent period.

I think the hopes that Democrats have are based on the fact that, well, pill toll one in whatever it was in the special election.

Uh, then she won again in, uh, 22.

Um, uh,

So that she's got this edge in ranked choice voting.

I think that's another thing that Democrats need to think about.

There's this notion that ranked choice voting inherently benefits Democrats.

And there might be cases where that's the case.