Liam Donovan

But I think we've seen this over the last 20 years, maybe since the Obama era, since our coalitions have shifted, the parties and countries polarized.

It's very, very difficult to imagine a president getting above Trump.

say, 48 percent, something like that, the coalition that got him there.

So in that sense, it's it's a hard cap.

And so, like, you need to almost grade on a little bit of a curve in terms of where these things are.

That said, the president's approval rating, I don't care which party you're from, wants to be above 40.

It wants to be at 42, 43.

That is your firm base.

What we're seeing here is that there are elements of the Republican coalition that consider themselves Republican who are disillusioned for one reason or another.

Either they are anti-war or skeptical of foreign entanglements.

Maybe they are simply upset about the cost of living.

They don't like tariffs, what have you.

They just don't like the way things are going.

I think that is the layer that is the easiest to imagine getting back.

And if we're looking forward to, OK, how does this get back to a place where Republicans stand to have an OK or like just a par midterm?

It's that he floats back up above 40 because that's kind of where these people want to be.

They want to be given a reason to like Donald Trump.

They want to be given a reason to vote for Republicans.

Well, I think we got to step back for a minute and think about how we got here.

How did Donald Trump get the nomination in the first place?