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Lou Whiteman

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
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3897 total appearances

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Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

And that's why PPI is so important.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

It acts as this very key indicator of inflation.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

It tracks price fluctuations before they ever reach consumers.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

So you kind of think of it as the early warning system for consumers, right?

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

Consumer price index tracks what you and I pay at the register.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

But the producer price index, or PPI, attracts inflation to the factory floor.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

So what businesses are paying for raw materials, like you just mentioned?

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

Fuel, wholesale supplies, before those products ever reach a store shelf.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

And we are seeing astronomical spikes in the cost of energy to run factories, food ingredients for packaging, and just the baseline services required to ship goods.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

And so if you're looking at this as an investor,

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

Whereas an everyday consumer, this is a look into the immediate future and what it spells for a lot of these different costs.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

And the important thing to note is when the costs of making a product explode this quickly, most businesses can't afford to just absorb the financial hit.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

And so obviously to protect their margins, they are going to eventually pass that down quickly.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

to the consumer.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

And I do think if you're looking at this today, it is a bit of a preview of what we're going to be seeing in terms of price hikes on grocery shelves, retail websites, at the gas pump.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

I think it also underscores the fact that as robust as the stock market's performance continues to be, there is and remains a fundamental disconnect between the realized economic reality for a lot of consumers.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

And that's also important to us as investors for a lot of the companies that we own and follow.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

Yeah, I mean, I think there are risks and opportunities across a range of markets.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

One of the things that's kind of interesting to consider is the subscription models for services like Netflix and Spotify.