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Lou Whiteman

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
See mentions of this person in podcasts
3897 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

I mean, these are services that tend to be built on recurring monthly cycles.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

So historically, there's kind of this level of baseline consistency.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

But what we'll often see in these maybe difficult macro periods is.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

is maybe instead of a user maintaining three or four active streaming subscriptions, they'll have a cyclical pattern.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

Maybe they'll subscribe, say, to Netflix for a single season of a show, and then they'll cancel, especially during these periods of economic pressure.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

So I think that's something that could be a risk to what I think are fundamentally great businesses like Netflix and Spotify.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

You talked a bit about the retailers, right?

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

So Target's an interesting example.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

They rely really heavily on home decor and apparel sales.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

So there are...

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

there's, I think, a much broader exposure to non-essential spending.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

Whereas you have Walmart, right?

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

They have about 60% of their U.S.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

sales come from grocery sales and household staples.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

One other example, you think of a premium operator like Costco, you know, they make most of their profits from their membership-based model.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

That's given them pretty predictable cash flows as well during past volatile periods and not

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

saying necessarily go out and buy Walmart and Costco, but I do think it's important to understand where the resilient businesses are and how those cyclical elements trickle down overall.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Shopify Retreats, Amazon Attacks

And that's the thing.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Shopify Retreats, Amazon Attacks

It's funny because we're all guilty of it.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Shopify Retreats, Amazon Attacks

We all like scoreboards, right?