Mark Dubowitz
๐ค SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
Again, just to clarify, I just think it's important to understand the definition of terms.
Once you have 60% enriched uranium, you've done 99% of all the steps, including some of the steps that Scott's talking about.
You've done 99% of what you need to have weapons-grade uranium.
a deliverable nuclear weapon, so you need the weapons grade uranium.
And just to repeat, they have multiple bombs worth of the 60% enriched uranium, which again is 99% of the steps you need to take for weapons grade.
So they're very close to weapons grade.
That's 1% more that they need to do to enrich to weapons grade.
The second aspect of a deliverable nuclear weapon is obviously the delivery vehicle, and those are the missiles.
And the
According to the DNI and other incredible sources, Iran has got the largest missile inventory in the Middle East, 3,000 missiles before the war began, and at least the ballistic missiles, 2,000 capable of reaching Israel.
So there's no doubt that Iran has the ability, once they have the weapons-grade uranium and the warhead, to affix that to a missile and deliver that.
Certainly to hit Israel, hit our Gulf neighbors, hit Southern Europe.
They also have an active intercontinental ballistic missile program, an ICBM program, which ultimately is designed not to hit the Israelis or the Gulfies, but to hit Iranians.
deeper into Europe and ultimately to target the United States.
So let's just understand the missile program.
I think it's an important part of it.
The third leg of the stool, and Scott has already alluded to this, and we've had some debate on this, and I think we should talk about it, what it really means in detail, is you've got to develop a warhead.
or a crude nuclear device.
And according to estimates from both U.S.
government sources and nuclear experts, it would take about four to six months for Iran to develop a crude nuclear device.