Mark Gagnon
👤 Speaker
22033
total appearances
Appearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
Camp Gagnon
The Creepy Science of Coincidences
This is a classic statistical probabilistic nightmare.
Camp Gagnon
The Creepy Science of Coincidences
OK, if you were in a room with 23 people, have you heard this before?
Camp Gagnon
The Creepy Science of Coincidences
OK, it's a big flagrant thing.
Camp Gagnon
The Creepy Science of Coincidences
We did this on Flagrant?
Camp Gagnon
The Creepy Science of Coincidences
I cannot believe I forgot that.
Camp Gagnon
The Creepy Science of Coincidences
I was there and you just already remember it better than me.
Camp Gagnon
The Creepy Science of Coincidences
Now, if you're in a room with 23 people, did I bring it up?
Camp Gagnon
The Creepy Science of Coincidences
All right, well, I'll tell you guys.
Camp Gagnon
The Creepy Science of Coincidences
How many people do you need to have in a room for a 50% chance that two of them share the same birthday?
Camp Gagnon
The Creepy Science of Coincidences
Well, you're thinking, okay, there's 365 days.
Camp Gagnon
The Creepy Science of Coincidences
So in order for us to have a 50% chance that two of them share the same birthday, you probably need like 100, maybe 150.
Camp Gagnon
The Creepy Science of Coincidences
That's probably a reasonable guess.