Mark Halperin

speaker
22,766 appearances 88 recordings 4 series first heard Dec 2024 last heard 4d ago

Mark Halperin’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months
11 · Aug OctJan 26AprJulnow

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 48 in all, peaking in Aug 2026 with 11.

Appearances

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But I think the more likely outcome is not that kind of centrist uh center centered uh uh conventional wisdom. voice-verified
It's it's over here or it's over here. voice-verified
It's on the extreme of one side or the other, which is to say, either we're going to see a blue tsunami, the size of uh Connecticut, I like to say, uh that um wipes out not just all the races that are currently thought of as competitive, but others. voice-verified
So in the Senate, we voice-verified
see Republicans lose uh not just places like Ohio, North Carolina, Maine, Iowa, but we also see them lose maybe places like Kansas and South Carolina that Republicans could lose up to eight voice-verified
say Senate seats, which would give them the majority there quite easily. voice-verified
And then the same thing on the House side, most of these conventional wisdom analysts say voice-verified
I if it's a Trump plus seven, plus eight, plus nine, plus ten or more district, it's not gonna be in play. voice-verified
Uh well, I think if if this tsunami happens, um you're gonna see you're gonna see uh people who aren't expected to lose and themselves don't expect to lose, maybe lose. voice-verified
What's the evidence for that? voice-verified
What's what what's the data that suggests that? voice-verified
Well, private polling is what I always try to look at. voice-verified
The public polling uh kind of leans in that direction. voice-verified
Here's uh real clear politics uh average, F seven, please. voice-verified
Uh what does it say about where the House is? voice-verified
Uh the so-called generic ballot, uh, which party uh would you prefer control Congress? voice-verified
Eight point lead uh in the average of the recent polls. voice-verified
That's a big lead. voice-verified
Uh we've seen bigger ones, and some of the polls this year have it bigger. voice-verified
But eight-point lead usually leads towards a tsunami, the president's approval rating, the history as I mentioned, and then voice-verified
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