Mark Halperin
speaker
22,766 appearances
88 recordings
4 series
first heard Dec 2024
last heard 4d ago
Mark Halperin’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 48 in all, peaking in Aug 2026 with 11.
Appearances
But I think the more likely outcome is not that kind of centrist uh center centered uh uh conventional wisdom.
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It's it's over here or it's over here.
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It's on the extreme of one side or the other, which is to say, either we're going to see a blue tsunami, the size of uh Connecticut, I like to say, uh that um wipes out not just all the races that are currently thought of as competitive, but others.
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So in the Senate, we
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see Republicans lose uh not just places like Ohio, North Carolina, Maine, Iowa, but we also see them lose maybe places like Kansas and South Carolina that Republicans could lose up to eight
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say Senate seats, which would give them the majority there quite easily.
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And then the same thing on the House side, most of these conventional wisdom analysts say
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I if it's a Trump plus seven, plus eight, plus nine, plus ten or more district, it's not gonna be in play.
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Uh well, I think if if this tsunami happens, um you're gonna see you're gonna see uh people who aren't expected to lose and themselves don't expect to lose, maybe lose.
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What's the evidence for that?
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What's what what's the data that suggests that?
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Well, private polling is what I always try to look at.
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The public polling uh kind of leans in that direction.
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Here's uh real clear politics uh average, F seven, please.
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Uh what does it say about where the House is?
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Uh the so-called generic ballot, uh, which party uh would you prefer control Congress?
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Eight point lead uh in the average of the recent polls.
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That's a big lead.
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Uh we've seen bigger ones, and some of the polls this year have it bigger.
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But eight-point lead usually leads towards a tsunami, the president's approval rating, the history as I mentioned, and then
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Showing 41–60 of 22,766 · page 3 of 1139
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