Mark Halperin

And it's harder to convince the president to endorse Cornyn when the main argument that John Thune and the other members of the establishment have is he got to endorse Cornyn to save the seat.

Because if it's not Cornyn, we could lose it if it's Paxton.

And if it's Paxton, we're going to have to spend a lot of money to beat Tallarica.

I've never been one who believed that for all the problems Paxton has.

Tallarico just has a bunch of problems, ladies and gentlemen.

He's he's more liberal by a lot than anyone who's won statewide in Texas in a good long while.

Back when they were electing Democrats statewide decades ago, they weren't this liberal.

Now, the state's demographically changing, but there's really no reason to believe a barring Paxton weakness.

that Tallarica could win.

Now, what the Paxton people say is, Cornyn could lose the seat too, because MAGA will be depressed.

If the president doesn't endorse Paxton or endorses Cornyn, MAGA won't turn out.

That could be true.

But I think the bottom line for this is, the most likely outcome is the president endorses Cornyn.

Paxton gets out.

I don't think the president will endorse Cornyn unless he's got an agreement that Paxton's gonna get out.

And if it's Cornyn versus Tallarica,

Most of my sources, not all, but most say that's not a contest.

Cornyn will win.

Why are they so confident about that?

What we already know about Tallarico, as I said, is he's very liberal.