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Megan McCarty Carino

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
See mentions of this person in podcasts
924 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Marketplace All-in-One
Who can stop insider trading on prediction markets?

It's been regulated as a futures market by the Federal Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

Marketplace All-in-One
Who can stop insider trading on prediction markets?

since just like 2024.

Marketplace All-in-One
Who can stop insider trading on prediction markets?

And basically, you know, Kalshi got a license and the CFTC, which is the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, said, yes, you know, we do have the jurisdiction over you.

Marketplace All-in-One
Who can stop insider trading on prediction markets?

This is likely to go to the Supreme Court at some point.

Marketplace All-in-One
Who can stop insider trading on prediction markets?

But the rationale for the current regime is that unlike a gambling market, there's no house.

Marketplace All-in-One
Who can stop insider trading on prediction markets?

These platforms say that they are exchanges connecting

Marketplace All-in-One
Who can stop insider trading on prediction markets?

Two parties to make a yes or no contract on whether a specific event will happen in the future.

Marketplace All-in-One
Who can stop insider trading on prediction markets?

Now they're kind of been pushing into sports a lot.

Marketplace All-in-One
Who can stop insider trading on prediction markets?

It actually makes up kind of the bulk of their business.

Marketplace All-in-One
Who can stop insider trading on prediction markets?

I know we've been giving a lot of attention to the geopolitical side, but most of what happens on these platforms are sports contracts.

Marketplace All-in-One
Who can stop insider trading on prediction markets?

And I think that sort of very direct comparison with sports gambling is what has a lot of people saying no.

Marketplace All-in-One
Who can stop insider trading on prediction markets?

How is this different from sports betting?

Marketplace All-in-One
Who can stop insider trading on prediction markets?

But for the moment, at least, these are regulated like commodities futures.

Marketplace All-in-One
Who can stop insider trading on prediction markets?

One of the big differences between the stock market and the commodities markets is that stocks, firms, they have shareholders, right?

Marketplace All-in-One
Who can stop insider trading on prediction markets?

And so one of the sort of main legal reasons that we would be worried about insider trading is that if you are an insider at a company and you have insider information and you trade on it, you could really be, you know, messing with

Marketplace All-in-One
Who can stop insider trading on prediction markets?

the company's shareholders whom you have a fiduciary duty to.

Marketplace All-in-One
Who can stop insider trading on prediction markets?

And so that has been kind of one of the main legal and I think ethical constructs behind why we worry about insider trading.

Marketplace All-in-One
Who can stop insider trading on prediction markets?

There are no shareholders with commodities.

Marketplace All-in-One
Who can stop insider trading on prediction markets?

You know, there's no corn shareholders.

Marketplace All-in-One
Who can stop insider trading on prediction markets?

There's no oil shareholders.