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Merryn Somerset Webb

πŸ‘€ Speaker
3075 total appearances
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Podcast Appearances

Merryn Talks Money
Markets in a Permanent Mini-Crisis: Why Investors Are Waiting, Not Predicting

And there's also a very interesting conversation to be had around that, whether that's to do with effectively the UK being on the edge of a recession or whether it's to do with AI.

503.67 View full episode β†’
Merryn Talks Money
Markets in a Permanent Mini-Crisis: Why Investors Are Waiting, Not Predicting

I suspect the former, but I know a lot of other people think the other.

511.165 View full episode β†’
Merryn Talks Money
Markets in a Permanent Mini-Crisis: Why Investors Are Waiting, Not Predicting

And the final thing that has happened recently out this week is there's some news that the UK budget deficit is slightly lower than you might have expected at a three year low.

514.972 View full episode β†’
Merryn Talks Money
Markets in a Permanent Mini-Crisis: Why Investors Are Waiting, Not Predicting

And again, that sounds good, but it's worth remembering that we still do have a whopping great deficit and the debt is still building.

525.515 View full episode β†’
Merryn Talks Money
Markets in a Permanent Mini-Crisis: Why Investors Are Waiting, Not Predicting

And that that fall in borrowing is presumably connected to the sharp rise in taxes, which may still have a laugher reaction over the next few years.

532.15 View full episode β†’
Merryn Talks Money
Markets in a Permanent Mini-Crisis: Why Investors Are Waiting, Not Predicting

When you put up taxes initially, you normally get a revenue bounce.

542.124 View full episode β†’
Merryn Talks Money
Markets in a Permanent Mini-Crisis: Why Investors Are Waiting, Not Predicting

But then people adjust their behavior and that revenue bounce mildly disappears.

545.669 View full episode β†’
Merryn Talks Money
Markets in a Permanent Mini-Crisis: Why Investors Are Waiting, Not Predicting

Anyway, nonetheless, if you wanted to, you could have a go at dragging some sparkle out of these three things.

549.054 View full episode β†’
Merryn Talks Money
Markets in a Permanent Mini-Crisis: Why Investors Are Waiting, Not Predicting

Yeah, I mean, this is, I was going to say people hate inflation, but one thing that's really, really difficult is general inflation combined with falling house prices.

680.199 View full episode β†’
Merryn Talks Money
Markets in a Permanent Mini-Crisis: Why Investors Are Waiting, Not Predicting

That's very hard for a lot of Brits.

689.591 View full episode β†’
Merryn Talks Money
Markets in a Permanent Mini-Crisis: Why Investors Are Waiting, Not Predicting

Tough gig.

692.114 View full episode β†’
Merryn Talks Money
Markets in a Permanent Mini-Crisis: Why Investors Are Waiting, Not Predicting

Yes.

732.66 View full episode β†’
Merryn Talks Money
Markets in a Permanent Mini-Crisis: Why Investors Are Waiting, Not Predicting

Yeah, so it is interesting.

733.486 View full episode β†’
Merryn Talks Money
Markets in a Permanent Mini-Crisis: Why Investors Are Waiting, Not Predicting

We've got an interview coming out with Andy Haldane soon, who used to be the economist at Bank of England.

734.587 View full episode β†’
Merryn Talks Money
Markets in a Permanent Mini-Crisis: Why Investors Are Waiting, Not Predicting

And one of the things that we talk about in that is something that we've talked about, I think, with Russell Napier and other people previously, which is about how household balance sheets are in really good shape.

740.655 View full episode β†’
Merryn Talks Money
Markets in a Permanent Mini-Crisis: Why Investors Are Waiting, Not Predicting

The UK household sector was really deleveraged over the last decade.

751.409 View full episode β†’
Merryn Talks Money
Markets in a Permanent Mini-Crisis: Why Investors Are Waiting, Not Predicting

And were they to feel confident, a lot of good economic stuff could happen in the UK, but they really, really don't.

754.854 View full episode β†’
Merryn Talks Money
Markets in a Permanent Mini-Crisis: Why Investors Are Waiting, Not Predicting

Okay, so that's that bit of misery.

764.148 View full episode β†’
Merryn Talks Money
Markets in a Permanent Mini-Crisis: Why Investors Are Waiting, Not Predicting

So much for optimism.

765.57 View full episode β†’
Merryn Talks Money
Markets in a Permanent Mini-Crisis: Why Investors Are Waiting, Not Predicting

Thanks for that, John.

766.712 View full episode β†’