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Michael Batnick

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
2199 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Compound and Friends
Twelve Rules for Riding a Bubble With Jeff deGraaf, Micron and Sandisk (Finally) Pull Back, Housing Stocks Crash

How confident am I that which are going to underperform?

The Compound and Friends
Twelve Rules for Riding a Bubble With Jeff deGraaf, Micron and Sandisk (Finally) Pull Back, Housing Stocks Crash

Do you feel super strongly one way or the other that the mega cap tech, all of these asset-heavy names โ€“

The Compound and Friends
Twelve Rules for Riding a Bubble With Jeff deGraaf, Micron and Sandisk (Finally) Pull Back, Housing Stocks Crash

are going to outperform or underperform?

The Compound and Friends
Twelve Rules for Riding a Bubble With Jeff deGraaf, Micron and Sandisk (Finally) Pull Back, Housing Stocks Crash

Do you feel super strongly that over, because I really don't.

The Compound and Friends
Twelve Rules for Riding a Bubble With Jeff deGraaf, Micron and Sandisk (Finally) Pull Back, Housing Stocks Crash

that the cap that the capital heavy companies now that are dominating the the data center biz will outperform or underperform the market no same can it how can anyone be yeah i hate to be so wishy-washy but like it's tough well how could you know right right right right right okay um let's move on to an area of the market that we spend very little time talking about because it's an absolute barren wasteland um this is not a bubble

The Compound and Friends
Twelve Rules for Riding a Bubble With Jeff deGraaf, Micron and Sandisk (Finally) Pull Back, Housing Stocks Crash

Could you imagine a world where

The Compound and Friends
Twelve Rules for Riding a Bubble With Jeff deGraaf, Micron and Sandisk (Finally) Pull Back, Housing Stocks Crash

Housing activity returns.

The Compound and Friends
Twelve Rules for Riding a Bubble With Jeff deGraaf, Micron and Sandisk (Finally) Pull Back, Housing Stocks Crash

The fact that the economy has been as resilient as it is, the fact that the stock market and spending has been what it is, despite the fact that one of the actual largest parts of the economy is in a depression, that's a stretch, is remarkable.

The Compound and Friends
Twelve Rules for Riding a Bubble With Jeff deGraaf, Micron and Sandisk (Finally) Pull Back, Housing Stocks Crash

So let's talk about the stocks of the housing stock apocalypse.

The Compound and Friends
Twelve Rules for Riding a Bubble With Jeff deGraaf, Micron and Sandisk (Finally) Pull Back, Housing Stocks Crash

Whirlpool reported last week, I meant to grab some of the quotes.

The Compound and Friends
Twelve Rules for Riding a Bubble With Jeff deGraaf, Micron and Sandisk (Finally) Pull Back, Housing Stocks Crash

But this is durable goods like dishwashers and shit like that.

The Compound and Friends
Twelve Rules for Riding a Bubble With Jeff deGraaf, Micron and Sandisk (Finally) Pull Back, Housing Stocks Crash

Down 81% in the last five years.

The Compound and Friends
Twelve Rules for Riding a Bubble With Jeff deGraaf, Micron and Sandisk (Finally) Pull Back, Housing Stocks Crash

This is drawdown.

The Compound and Friends
Twelve Rules for Riding a Bubble With Jeff deGraaf, Micron and Sandisk (Finally) Pull Back, Housing Stocks Crash

It's an 81% drawdown.

The Compound and Friends
Twelve Rules for Riding a Bubble With Jeff deGraaf, Micron and Sandisk (Finally) Pull Back, Housing Stocks Crash

Pool, which is actually pools, is literally down.

The Compound and Friends
Twelve Rules for Riding a Bubble With Jeff deGraaf, Micron and Sandisk (Finally) Pull Back, Housing Stocks Crash

This is not a drawdown.

The Compound and Friends
Twelve Rules for Riding a Bubble With Jeff deGraaf, Micron and Sandisk (Finally) Pull Back, Housing Stocks Crash

It's down 55% over the last five years.

The Compound and Friends
Twelve Rules for Riding a Bubble With Jeff deGraaf, Micron and Sandisk (Finally) Pull Back, Housing Stocks Crash

Zillow just reported the stock was at 90 earlier last year or mid last year.

The Compound and Friends
Twelve Rules for Riding a Bubble With Jeff deGraaf, Micron and Sandisk (Finally) Pull Back, Housing Stocks Crash

It's now at 39.

The Compound and Friends
Twelve Rules for Riding a Bubble With Jeff deGraaf, Micron and Sandisk (Finally) Pull Back, Housing Stocks Crash

And they said, in terms of what we're looking for in the back half of the year and how we thought about it, we're planning for the housing market to continue to be effectively flat.