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Michael Batnick

πŸ‘€ Speaker
4118 total appearances
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Podcast Appearances

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

But I think what that analysis is showing is that

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

this is going to support a lot of the equal weighted indexes because it's such a profound effect on the broader economy, right?

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

Like Caterpillar is probably part of that S&P 493, right?

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

Like I think I was reading that Generac is doing better now because of the data center build out to build back up, you know, power for these facilities.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

So that's why I say like, just because, I mean, is the equal weight, like historically we look at that as a sign of like market broadening,

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

But if the AI tech capex boom is touching lots of industrial names, as an example, and lots of freight, right?

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

Like that stuff needs to move around the country.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

That's, you know, that's also probably helped by all this.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

So is it really like a sign of breath?

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

Or is it just a sign that things are

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

really concentrated into one area of the economy.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

Like what is, like how much is like traditional non-residential structures like doing?

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

The other thing I was thinking, I'd love to hear your thoughts on this, Michael, is that when clients ask me, do you think the market's pricing in a slowdown?

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

See, like you're looking at it like, but I don't know.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

I mean, discretionary stocks don't look great, right?

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

I mean, like that's what my, that's what Jeff has been telling me.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

Like discretionary is underperforming consumer staples.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

Equal weight.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

Like, he's been pointing that out.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

I mean, restaurants don't look good.