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Mustafa Suleyman

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
See mentions of this person in podcasts
1896 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Neuron: AI Explained
Mustafa Suleyman on Seemingly Conscious AI and Microsoft's Next Chapter

Or if it was able to set its own goals.

The Neuron: AI Explained
Mustafa Suleyman on Seemingly Conscious AI and Microsoft's Next Chapter

If it just had, if it was by design, it was capable of saying, you know, today I'm going to wake up and I'm going to go learn about physics or I'm going to go build a, you know, wind turbine.

The Neuron: AI Explained
Mustafa Suleyman on Seemingly Conscious AI and Microsoft's Next Chapter

You know, this is clearly going to infringe on sort of human will.

The Neuron: AI Explained
Mustafa Suleyman on Seemingly Conscious AI and Microsoft's Next Chapter

So, you know, autonomy, goal setting, self-improvement, you know, these are big foundational pieces.

The Neuron: AI Explained
Mustafa Suleyman on Seemingly Conscious AI and Microsoft's Next Chapter

Those capabilities aren't quite there in the models yet.

The Neuron: AI Explained
Mustafa Suleyman on Seemingly Conscious AI and Microsoft's Next Chapter

But you can certainly see them coming in the next three to five years.

The Neuron: AI Explained
Mustafa Suleyman on Seemingly Conscious AI and Microsoft's Next Chapter

And so I don't necessarily think we need to sort of snap to regulation, but I think it's part of the discussion that we need to start having as a species because these are very, very powerful systems that we're bringing into the world.

The Neuron: AI Explained
Mustafa Suleyman on Seemingly Conscious AI and Microsoft's Next Chapter

And most importantly, they're going to be very cheap.

The Neuron: AI Explained
Mustafa Suleyman on Seemingly Conscious AI and Microsoft's Next Chapter

And many of them are going to be available in open source.

The Neuron: AI Explained
Mustafa Suleyman on Seemingly Conscious AI and Microsoft's Next Chapter

So we have to contend with the fact that this isn't just about managing and governing the frontier labs.

The Neuron: AI Explained
Mustafa Suleyman on Seemingly Conscious AI and Microsoft's Next Chapter

It's about managing the entire ecosystem and how everybody plays with these things.

The Neuron: AI Explained
Mustafa Suleyman on Seemingly Conscious AI and Microsoft's Next Chapter

You know, I think that there's risks up and down the stack.

The Neuron: AI Explained
Mustafa Suleyman on Seemingly Conscious AI and Microsoft's Next Chapter

The risks of open source is that anybody can copy it, reproduce it, experiment with it with basically zero sort of oversight.

The Neuron: AI Explained
Mustafa Suleyman on Seemingly Conscious AI and Microsoft's Next Chapter

And that's a good thing today.

The Neuron: AI Explained
Mustafa Suleyman on Seemingly Conscious AI and Microsoft's Next Chapter

You know, people can be creative and productive on their own laptop.

The Neuron: AI Explained
Mustafa Suleyman on Seemingly Conscious AI and Microsoft's Next Chapter

That's awesome.

The Neuron: AI Explained
Mustafa Suleyman on Seemingly Conscious AI and Microsoft's Next Chapter

But in 10 years time, when if the models have continued to get as good by 2035 as they did between 2015 and 2025, you know, people struggle to intuit the impact of an exponential.

The Neuron: AI Explained
Mustafa Suleyman on Seemingly Conscious AI and Microsoft's Next Chapter

You know, that isn't just linear.

The Neuron: AI Explained
Mustafa Suleyman on Seemingly Conscious AI and Microsoft's Next Chapter

That is basically a doubling of compute every 18 months for the next 10 years.

The Neuron: AI Explained
Mustafa Suleyman on Seemingly Conscious AI and Microsoft's Next Chapter

So you're talking, you know, six, seven doublings over that time period.