Nate Cohn

For some comparison, Biden won by four and a half in 2020.

There are more people in the poll who say they are Republicans than Democrats, which has historically not been the case.

And if the Democrats are looking for a sweeping repudiation of Donald Trump,

I don't see how they could look at these poll results and see that on the horizon.

And I think that is sort of what Democrats are looking for.

Bottom line, when I look at this poll, I see lots of signs that voters are dissatisfied with Donald Trump.

He's gone too far.

I don't see any evidence that voters are looking to buy what the Democrats are selling either.

Sure, there's a lot of room to disagree with Donald Trump without agreeing with the Democrats.

And interestingly enough, on some of the issues where you can imagine that voters might be convinced of the non-Trump position, the Democrats aren't really owning that either.

Like take tariffs, for instance.

You would think that Donald Trump's excessive tariffs, which have, you know, in the minds of the public, hurt the economy and gone too far, that that might create an opening for the Democrats to campaign on eliminating tariffs.

That's not the position they're taking, is it?

So on some of the things where Donald Trump arguably has set the Democrats best up, they're not necessarily in position to capitalize on it either.

That said, one of the most interesting things about this poll is that the economic and policy issues that we've been talking about do not rank highest on the minds of voters right now.

They say that other issues are more important problems.

And that is not something that I have seen before.

So in basically every poll for as long as we've been doing this, we ask people an open-ended question.

What's the most important problem facing the country today?

What's the most important issue?