Nate Cohn

But beyond that core Republican base, the president has lost a tremendous amount of support.

In terms of the president's approval rating, it was at just 37%.

That is the lowest approval rating he's ever had in a Time Siena poll.

Yep.

And we're not alone on that, it's worth noting.

The average of all the polls right now shows the president's approval rating is lower today than it has been at any time that he's been president going back to when he first took office in 2017.

And this broad disillusionment has left the coalition that brought President Trump to the White House

for a second time in tatters.

The young and non-white voters who swung to President Trump in 2024 haven't just swung back towards the Democrats.

They've now swung even farther toward the left than they were in 2020 when he lost the first time.

And it appears to leave the Democrats in an increasingly strong position heading into the midterm elections.

And that's not necessarily surprising on one level.

The party out of power usually does well in the midterms.

But this poll suggests they could do really, really well this November.

That's right.

For as long as Donald Trump has been president, it's been commonly said that there is a high floor on his support.

Just explain that, just define that.

The idea is that Donald Trump can do all kinds of things that might ordinarily hurt a president politically, but that his base of support is so strong that his ratings can never fall that low.

And historically, that floor has been around 38%.

If you just look over his whole time as president, there have only been a handful of days where his approval rating on average has fallen beneath 38%.