Nate Cohn

Right.

That's the basic idea.

So our poll this week shows President Trump's approval rating at 37%.

It's not necessarily hugely different from 38%.

Of course, that's a four point decline, though, since our last poll in January.

And it's part of a broader decline in the president's approval rating over the last year.

So at best, we're looking at the president now having fallen to that floor and we're wondering whether he's going to keep falling.

And at worst, I think you can look at this poll and see all kinds of signs that the president's really falling through a level that he hasn't fallen before.

And we have no reason to assume that he can't fall any further.

When you look at the numbers in the survey on Iran or the cost of living, his approval ratings are even lower.

So as long as those issues last and fester, they drag his approval rating even lower.

In one way or another, it's almost everything that's dragging down the president's support.

There aren't any bright spots for him in this poll.

And frankly, there haven't been bright spots in our polling for months now.

The president has alienated a large swath of Republican-leaning voters.

on almost every issue, generally because he's gone too far.

And on those two issues in particular, the cost of living and the conflict in the Middle East, the president's approval ratings are really bad.

There's no nice way to put it.

I mean, on the cost of living, he has a 28% approval rating.

Only 30% approve of his decision to go attack Iran.