Nate Cohn
👤 SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
Even a modest number of the people who still approve of the president's performance overall are skeptical of what he's done on these two central issues.
But it's also worth remembering that the president's standing on even his areas of relative strength.
don't look especially good on immigration, which was the best issue for the president that we tested in the poll.
Only 41% of voters approve of his handling on that issue, where he has some real wins on, for instance, reducing the number of illegal border crossings.
On the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, only 31% approve of his handling of that issue.
So at risk of belaboring the point, there just aren't any bright spots that are helping to sustain the floor that we've seen for him in the past.
I mean, the president's approval rating among young and non-white voters, specifically Hispanic voters, I think our work dwelling on is extraordinarily bad under any circumstance.
But it is even worse against the backdrop of what he was able to accomplish in 2024.
Only, what was it, 18 months ago, the president won more than 40 percent and perhaps more than 45 percent.
of Hispanic voters and 18 to 29-year-olds.
In our poll today, the president's approval rating among 18 to 29-year-olds is down to 19%.
And among Hispanic voters, it's a 20% approval rating with 71% disapproving.
rolling back the gains that he made in 2024, that's just losing a considerable amount of Hispanic and younger voters who would probably support Republican candidates under any circumstance.
So this is an enormous decline in the present support that extends really deep into traditional Republican support among two groups that they're usually Democratic, to be sure, but that usually have 30 or 40 percent who are willing to support a Republican candidate.
I mean, the short answer is yes.
High prices were a major reason why young and non-white voters swung toward Donald Trump in the first place in 2024.
And I think it's worth adding that even beyond the cost of living, Iran and immigration play important roles with these groups of voters that we're talking about.