Nate Silver
speaker
1,377 appearances
5 recordings
5 series
first heard Feb 2025
last heard 29 Jun
Nate Silver’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
Trend
recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 3 in all, peaking in Jun 2026 with 2.
Appearances
some proof of concept i mean the redistricting thing was a genuinely smart tactical move democrats are going to wind up losing seats but like without california they probably lose even more and so he did skate where the puck was going there instead of the party's like usual risk version that i've critiqued before um but at the same time the triangulating spirit of like let's pick kamala harris because she's like the least unacceptable candidate
or Hillary or John Kerry, if you want to go back to 2004, the establishment doesn't seem to have an understanding of the fact that like almost every election now, Obama in 2012 was, I guess, the exception.
Almost every election now is a change election.
We might ping pong back and forth for many cycles.
Like, I think Democrats are slight favorites to win in 2028.
It wouldn't shock me if AOC or Newsom or Shapiro or Ossoff or whomever wins.
If they're underdogs again in 2032, look what's happening in the UK where, I mean, it's kind of become like a running joke, but we're going to be through like what, like six prime ministers in nine years or something.
And they're probably the US's like closest comp.
It's not a good time to be a defender of the status quo.
And I do think candidates like,
Kamala Harris, who was unable to distance herself, kind of literally unable or unwilling to distance herself from from Biden or Newsom, who's kind of like defending that legacy in the same way.
Like to me, that seems like it.
a failed strategy, but like in a lot of these World Cup games, sometimes you win on penalties.
I don't think that any of the GOP nominees look to be particularly strong.
Donald Trump in our approval ratings now is down to 38%.
People are upset about Iran.
They're upset about gas prices.
They're upset about just fatigue of having a singular
center star of politics over the past, you know, Trump kind of is like it's fatiguing a little bit.
And so, like, it's an uphill battle for the GOP.
Showing 241–260 of 1,377 · page 13 of 69
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