Nate Silver

speaker

1,377 appearances 5 recordings 5 series first heard Feb 2025 last heard 29 Jun

Nate Silver’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 3 in all, peaking in Jun 2026 with 2.

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All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg · Nate Silver Predicts: Democrats Take the House, Newsom Is Fading & AOC Might Win It All in 2028 · 29 Jun 2026 podcast

in Georgia, another good-looking young guy, but actually has a credential, which Newsom will never have, of having won an election in a purple state and being a younger, fresher face.

Whatever you say about Graham Platner and Janet Mills in Maine, I think Mills in the abstract might have been the safer choice.

I think it's good that Democrats are showing a bias toward younger candidates.

That's a lot of what happened with

Zoran, too.

You know, I wouldn't discount, by the way, someone like an AOC.

I'm not sure if she'll run.

Someone like Chuck Schumer might be very vulnerable in the 2028 primary.

For example, she has a lot of time to wait.

But like I could see like I again in New York, it's New York.

So therefore you can't extrapolate too much from New York.

However, people saying we are sick and tired of the Democratic establishment.

I'll take a more centrist version or a more left-wing version, but not the same.

I think ultimately Newsom has a hard argument to make.

He's arguing for continuity with Kamala Harris and Joe Biden.

He's embracing Joe Biden when that strategy has failed electorally.

I would argue in California, governance-wise as well.

To me, it's like a... I think Newsom is actually in a pretty defensive position, and that's why you see him...

We've seen in states like Maine, we may see this in Michigan as well, where, yeah, I mean, look, for many years in the Republican primary, the notion was that the establishment always won out, that you'd have like the Rick Santorum's or Sarah Palin's or Herman Cain's or whatever else is who would get.

40% of the vote, but the same country club establishment types we talked about at the top of the show would prevail at the end of the day.

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