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Nick Beim

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
303 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E305: Why 95% of AI Startups Will Never Build a Moat

In the Cold War, when the Cold War started to really heat up, so with the Korean War in particular, and with Sputnik, we put a huge national effort into innovations.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E305: Why 95% of AI Startups Will Never Build a Moat

We created DARPA.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E305: Why 95% of AI Startups Will Never Build a Moat

We created STEM education in the United States.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E305: Why 95% of AI Startups Will Never Build a Moat

We

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E305: Why 95% of AI Startups Will Never Build a Moat

made all sorts of changes to try to avoid that sort of technological surprise in the future.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E305: Why 95% of AI Startups Will Never Build a Moat

But as the Cold War, you know, wore on and when the Cold War ended, we sort of sat on our haunches a little bit and we weren't as aggressive in adopting new technologies as we should have.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E305: Why 95% of AI Startups Will Never Build a Moat

And

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E305: Why 95% of AI Startups Will Never Build a Moat

The result is now China is trying to develop a more capable military, primarily by trying to leapfrog us in the area of applying advanced technologies to their military and to their intelligence.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E305: Why 95% of AI Startups Will Never Build a Moat

And I think we now have a lot of urgency in this area, but we've got a lot of work to do.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E305: Why 95% of AI Startups Will Never Build a Moat

It's interesting.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E305: Why 95% of AI Startups Will Never Build a Moat

So on counter drones specifically, there are a lot of approaches that are being experimented with.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E305: Why 95% of AI Startups Will Never Build a Moat

both sort of in the lab, so to speak, and on the ground in Ukraine, like working with Ukraine.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E305: Why 95% of AI Startups Will Never Build a Moat

But I think generally there is a part of the military revolution that we are not currently well-suited to execute on, and that's low-cost hardware.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E305: Why 95% of AI Startups Will Never Build a Moat

You know, if you look at the margin structure in the business model of traditional defense primes, it's cost plus.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E305: Why 95% of AI Startups Will Never Build a Moat

They charge a very large amount for their hardware systems.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E305: Why 95% of AI Startups Will Never Build a Moat

And they bundle services with these systems, whether it's an aircraft, a radar system, whatever it is, a ship.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E305: Why 95% of AI Startups Will Never Build a Moat

But the action going forward is going to be in a lot of these low-cost systems.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E305: Why 95% of AI Startups Will Never Build a Moat

And they don't see enough margin for that to fit their current business models.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E305: Why 95% of AI Startups Will Never Build a Moat

One might say their business models have to change.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E305: Why 95% of AI Startups Will Never Build a Moat

I think more likely you're going to get new players.