Nick Bostrom

And to a large extent,

And to a large extent,

my reasons for thinking that are independent of the other considerations that we discussed.

my reasons for thinking that are independent of the other considerations that we discussed.

So you don't have to believe in the doomsday argument or the simulation argument or any of that.

So you don't have to believe in the doomsday argument or the simulation argument or any of that.

I mean, I think those are helpful for informing us about the big picture.

I mean, I think those are helpful for informing us about the big picture.

But even setting that aside, I think just, well, A, reviewing the rapid recent advances that we've seen in the field of artificial intelligence, it really looks like we kind of possibly...

But even setting that aside, I think just, well, A, reviewing the rapid recent advances that we've seen in the field of artificial intelligence, it really looks like we kind of possibly...

figured out a large component of the secret sauce, as it were, that makes the human brain capable of general purpose learning.

figured out a large component of the secret sauce, as it were, that makes the human brain capable of general purpose learning.

And it does seem current large transformer architectures do exhibit many of the same forms of generality that the human brain has.

And it does seem current large transformer architectures do exhibit many of the same forms of generality that the human brain has.

And there is no reason to think we've kind of hit the ceiling.

And there is no reason to think we've kind of hit the ceiling.

And also from first principles,

And also from first principles,

If you look at the human brain, it's a physiological system, quite impressive in many ways, but far from the physical limits of computation.

If you look at the human brain, it's a physiological system, quite impressive in many ways, but far from the physical limits of computation.