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Nick Goodall

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
2177 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The NZ Property Market Podcast
The holiday hotspot battle

And it sounds like she might be more transparent.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
The holiday hotspot battle

So maybe we will get a better read on how things are going to play out.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
The holiday hotspot battle

But she's also reiterated the point that it'll be data dependent.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
The holiday hotspot battle

And what we think we're going to do today might change when we come back in February because the data we receive in the next two months is going to be quite different.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
The holiday hotspot battle

Do you have any extra thoughts to add to that, Mark?

The NZ Property Market Podcast
The holiday hotspot battle

Any differences or any thoughts on the new governor and how she's sort of come out the last week and tried to crawl those fears from the markets?

The NZ Property Market Podcast
The holiday hotspot battle

Yeah, it does sound quite similar.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
The holiday hotspot battle

And Dan, anything to add or any differences for you?

The NZ Property Market Podcast
The holiday hotspot battle

I guess for investors, right, they need to have some certainty with one of their costs, right?

The NZ Property Market Podcast
The holiday hotspot battle

When there's other costs that are rocketing and they're paying more in insurance premiums and council rates or whatever it is, and you're unsure about the change in that, you need to have some sort of understanding and control over your fixed mortgage costs.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
The holiday hotspot battle

And so I suppose that's where the long-term certainty comes in for them.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
The holiday hotspot battle

Yeah, no, I love all those points, especially the education, like say for a first home buyer that's just getting in.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
The holiday hotspot battle

And like say, and I think Stuart mentioned earlier as well, you know, anything under 5% is great over that long-term context, right?

The NZ Property Market Podcast
The holiday hotspot battle

And it probably is likely a roundabout where I would expect rates to be for the next few years.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
The holiday hotspot battle

Now, again, we have no idea what could change and will we see an OCR get close to the 0%?

The NZ Property Market Podcast
The holiday hotspot battle

Could we see the OCR skyrocket and go much higher than three?

The NZ Property Market Podcast
The holiday hotspot battle

I guess there's always a chance, but that expectation is that it gets back to that neutral rate,

The NZ Property Market Podcast
The holiday hotspot battle

of about 3% and a couple of percent for interest rates.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
The holiday hotspot battle

So there's mortgage interest rates and 5% seems about right.