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Nick Goodall

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
2177 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The NZ Property Market Podcast
CCCI Q1 results: the calm before the transport-cost storm?

But, yeah, I don't know, leading to a broader economic chat, Calvin, and we can see where we get to.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
CCCI Q1 results: the calm before the transport-cost storm?

Yeah, no, I think it's just a reiteration of the point we made last Wednesday, right, which is, yep, they've firmly floated that there's upside and downside risks to the economy and to inflation.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
CCCI Q1 results: the calm before the transport-cost storm?

But on the whole, they expect that the more likely scenario is that if inflation does stick around longer, the medium term inflation is too high and they have to do something about that and that they won't be afraid to move sooner rather than later to fight against that.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
CCCI Q1 results: the calm before the transport-cost storm?

And even if that's to the detriment of the

The NZ Property Market Podcast
CCCI Q1 results: the calm before the transport-cost storm?

the economy because, you know, the main thing for them is to get that inflation under control.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
CCCI Q1 results: the calm before the transport-cost storm?

So, yeah, I still feel like that's the feel I got.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
CCCI Q1 results: the calm before the transport-cost storm?

I don't think there's anything that we, you know, really gained any more insight off the back of that following their press conference and then the coverage of that conference.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
CCCI Q1 results: the calm before the transport-cost storm?

So, yeah, I think that's probably fair, not too much else to add to that one.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
CCCI Q1 results: the calm before the transport-cost storm?

Do you want to take us through February's mortgage lending data then, Calvin?

The NZ Property Market Podcast
CCCI Q1 results: the calm before the transport-cost storm?

I think, you know, we've seen it for a few months now that we've, you know, we're obviously well off the

The NZ Property Market Podcast
CCCI Q1 results: the calm before the transport-cost storm?

the trough of interest rates and no expectation about where they're going to go and how fast they're going to go and all those things that people are shifting from shorter periods to longer periods fixing their mortgage for.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
CCCI Q1 results: the calm before the transport-cost storm?

But the data itself is pretty interesting and so worthwhile just going through that and any other commentary you've got off the back of that data, Kelvin?

The NZ Property Market Podcast
CCCI Q1 results: the calm before the transport-cost storm?

Well, we are a visual medium these days, mate, so maybe I can have a go at trying to get a chart come up about now, whether you're watching through Spotify or watching on YouTube.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
CCCI Q1 results: the calm before the transport-cost storm?

But, you know, if you haven't seen one, then it's because I haven't been able to figure it out.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
CCCI Q1 results: the calm before the transport-cost storm?

But, yeah.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
CCCI Q1 results: the calm before the transport-cost storm?

Yeah, as you say, the term really came off the back of November and that last discussion and decision from the Reserve Bank and then the clear message that, yeah, that was probably the trough for the OCR and so mortgage rates would adjust accordingly.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
CCCI Q1 results: the calm before the transport-cost storm?

Yeah, and I think just on that point around two years, yeah, it does feel like, you know, just in general, it is that...

The NZ Property Market Podcast
CCCI Q1 results: the calm before the transport-cost storm?

happy medium between getting some certainty for a while but not locking in too long and you know I suppose all the conversations around what interest rates are going to do all is pretty short-term stuff it's kind of like what can we see happen the next year or two it's pretty hard to know what's going to happen in three years time right like where's inflation going to be where's the economy you

The NZ Property Market Podcast
CCCI Q1 results: the calm before the transport-cost storm?

You know, it's always that the Reserve Bank wants to see this OCR drift back to its neutral rate, wherever that is.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
CCCI Q1 results: the calm before the transport-cost storm?

And maybe that's a bit of a different figure now with everything else that's going on.