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Nick Goodall

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
2177 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

over that genuine period of time either through to understand what's actually happened in December January you know halfway through February how has this you know economy come back how have people come back to the new year with their expectations on this economy on their jobs and everything else too so it does feel like yeah there's a lot of patience in there as well um like like you said I

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

I think that's a good point that they continue to talk about the fact there's spare capacity in the economy.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

And that's why they're happy to keep it sort of the accelerator on the economy, I suppose, if you think about that with the OCR remaining below that neutral position of around about 3%.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

So, yeah, I think it's a pretty good summary, mate.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

I mean, maybe worth noting, the vote, of course, was unanimous.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

No surprises there to hold it.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

um everyone expected that i recorded our monthly video in advance of the decision and was confident enough to put on video that uh the ocr was held before it was even decided so would have been in trouble if something changed or we had to go back and record that but uh yeah that's i think just shows how clear it was that you know we weren't going to see any fall and and there was no way they were going to lift it this early either i i think as well like we say with that forecast of the official cash rate and when that lift will be

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

certainly reaffirming it's likely to be later this year than maybe what they said three months ago.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

But I do think it was a firm push back to market where some analysts had brought their forecast that it might be as early as September that we see an increase to the OCR.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

This shows that they don't really expect that to happen.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

They want to push back on that market expectation.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

So I think that's been an important insight from this one as well.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

Yeah, I don't know if I've got too much else there.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

I don't know if you touched on the house price growth there, that they did actually have some numbers in there showing, yeah, they expected a bit more weakness to come through in the first three or six months this year, including some declining prices, which would continue what we saw in the first month of this year, albeit very gradually.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

That might be a little bit pessimistic in my mind, but hard to argue with that.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

But a bit of growth coming back in the second half of the year.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

I think that's what we keep talking about, right, is that

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

We're going to likely see some growth.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

There's reason to think there's some value growth to come through for the property market.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

But with every month, with every bit of data, we sort of tend to push that expectation a bit further down the track, a bit further down the year.