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Nick Goodall

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
2177 total appearances
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Podcast Appearances

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

So again, it probably lines up with what we've been talking about, albeit we haven't had an official forecast there.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

And the other thing, as I've been doing, is the uncertain watch.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

The number of times the word uncertain or uncertainty pops up and it has dropped once again is

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

I had it 32 in November, down at 25 now.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

So again, I suppose that's got to be a good thing to market.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

The certainty is removing.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

That's despite lots of things going on globally, which do mean we're not sure exactly which way things might go, whether it's inflation, labour market, the economy.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

There's still a bit of uncertainty about that, but it's certainly improved on where it was a few years ago, or even last year.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

In May, there was sort of 80 references to all the uncertainty out there globally.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

So I think that certainty is also helping with that confidence and where things are going.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

Yes, there's some concern with some inflation being a bit higher than we expected.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

The selected price indices this week showed that food was continuing to be at the higher end and we don't want that.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

But overall, they seem pretty comfortable with those core inflation measures.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

It is tracking downwards and that allows them to be comfortable to be in that, what do they call it, accommodative settings for the official cash rate to encourage a bit more borrowing

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

and get that lending going on, which in their mind will hopefully boost the economy off the back of that as well.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

So, yeah, look, I think that's pretty much all from my notes.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

Anything else jump to mind as I was rambling on there, mate?

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

Yeah, slightly more damper on the house prices than we expected or had thought previously.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

And good point on the interest rates too.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
OCR hold - balanced and patient

Like I said, most of the movements have been made in advance.