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Nick Goodall

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
2025 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

like you said that has an influence on where inflation goes and that's why it's so important right even though they're not trying to go oh we need to speed up the economy so actually what the economy is doing is going to have an influence on inflation in six nine twelve months whatever it is and that's why it's so intertwined and that's why i think you get strong debates on this we can probably talk forever about it because there's no one read on this and that's why i always say we can say what we suggest they should do or whatever as much as we want it's really about what we think they will do

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

how we've learned from their style or their expectations and how they speak as to then what they're going to actually decide to do as well, which is why I think they'll speak tomorrow.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

We'll certainly pay close attention to that.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

I think from an oil perspective, you know, we haven't really heard from the government.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

I think they're pretty close to agreeing what sort of support they're going to provide for petrol prices, probably in particular.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

It doesn't sound like it'll be very broad, but that's OK.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

But once we know more about that, too, that'll give us a feel for

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

how much true inflation people will be feeling on this as well and how much it'll be across the board or for certain sectors or for certain, if it's in business or if it's just at the lower income or whatever, maybe more targeted.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

We haven't really heard from that too.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

So that's going to have an influence, I think, on a broader perspective.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

So yeah, that's why I think it's so interesting at the moment.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

The other thing I just want to touch on really briefly was we did have a couple of other, you know, those faster moving economic releases.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

We had the performance of services index, which is obviously a pretty important one for February, came out last week.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

That wasn't really good, but then the retail card spending data was better.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

Selected price indices data, which I think makes 45% of the basket that came through too, showed higher inflation than expected in February.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

So look, I don't want to go into too great a detail here, but I think ultimately, again, all this does is reinforce what we're talking about, which is we've got a stuttering economy.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

It still hasn't even taken off

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

you know, really before all this conflict happened, it's going to have downward pressure on the broader economy.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

And so, you know, we're in a pretty precarious position from an economic perspective.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

And as you said, that means probably some downward pressure on inflation over the longer term.