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Nicolas Owens

👤 Speaker
292 total appearances
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Podcast Appearances

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

And in the long term, we believe that stocks tend to arrive at those fair values.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

Obviously, we will have new information over time as well.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

I'm not really in the business of trying to guess what the market will pay in the next minute or hour or day.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

That's gonna be where these multiples and the Elon premium and all those factors will come in.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

I will say this though, I tried to reflect some of that in these percentages,

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

And then I would say I would give any other company lower probability of success for these projects.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

Right.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

I mean, again, I'm trying to.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

So it is built in essentially in your analysis because of the historical president.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

To be honest, like not to pick on any one competitor or another, but another rocket company that said the same stuff, I would say maybe zero percent probability of that upside scenario.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

See what I'm saying?

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

Yeah, I hadn't thought about the, you know, no pun intended space being an overrated space.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

I looked at this company, particularly with its AI venture, but then also the longer term goals, you know, putting a city on Mars or a mine on the moon.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

Those are, let's say, debatable value propositions.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

But again, I think this is the company best position to go after that.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

And the way I really modeled it is essentially as an infrastructure play, almost like building the railroads 130 years ago, putting that infrastructure and the supply chain in place to be able to do that.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

And it very much hinges on Starship being able to go there and back again many times, etc.,

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

It's a, it's a, it's a very kind of ambitious and, you know, fantastical project.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

But here it's happening, you know, 15 years ago, did we think there'd be reusable rockets with posters landing, you know, two minutes after launch?

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

No, but there they are.