Menu
Sign In Search Podcasts Libraries Charts People & Topics Add Podcast API Blog Pricing

Nicolas Owens

👤 Speaker
292 total appearances
Voice ID

Voice Profile Active

This person's voice can be automatically recognized across podcast episodes using AI voice matching.

Voice samples: 3
Confidence: High

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

Absolutely.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

And yeah, so TAM, the total addressable market is the way I interpret those numbers.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

And it's interesting, actually, that the smaller of the three that they put in their registration statement was for the rocket piece.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

Right.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

Yeah.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

So the one point six trillion addressable market that they list for the Starlink business, that's one point six trillion is pretty much what every human spent on telecoms on Earth this year.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

So what I interpret from that, like you said, it's as if they're saying we could go get or dominate 100% of this market.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

And so I actually interpret like addressable is sort of like in air quotes, like in theory, they're in that market for sure.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

They are playing in the mobile telecom, broadband and wireless market.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

That's kind of the service that Starlink provides.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

But we did an independent assessment of what we think a more realistic or addressable, not in air quotes, market opportunity for them is.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

And here, again, we're trying to give them some benefit of the doubt, given kind of these multiples that are being thrown around.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

And we're saying they have a great niche, right?

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

There's stuff you can do with Starlink connectivity that you can't do with ground-based broadband or wireless.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

And there's pretty big market for that.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

And then we interpret also this most likely scenario is that they can sign kind of like partnerships with wireless carriers and use the wireless carrier spectrum in most cases

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

which is an important solution to a constraining problem that they have, which is radio spectrum is the limiting factor to get the information up and down from the satellite.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

So that's where we get to the 129 billion global opportunity, which and we even give them.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

I want to say it's in our 10-year forecast, they get to some 45 percent of that market, which is pretty aggressive, but that's in part because they define some of that market.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

These niche uses, they are the most credible provider and they're way ahead in terms of the number of satellites that they have up there to be able to deliver that connectivity.