Patrick Wintour

60 days, which takes you past the World Cup and into the summer.

So actually the World Cup is an issue for Donald Trump.

He doesn't really want to have a war on whilst he's having this celebration of sport.

They have qualified, but they're now having to train instead of in America where they're due to play.

They're going to have to train in Mexico because there's issues about visas.

So there's all kinds of problems about the Iranian World Cup that's going to be docking us for the weeks ahead.

But anyway, I think Trump, the long short is Trump is in a great political difficulty over this deal.

And that's because he hasn't won the war.

He thought the regime would topple within three to four days.

It didn't happen.

It's proved to be more resilient and more brutal potentially, but it's managed to survive and survival was its goal.

Well, you know, it's not my area of expertise, but what I've read, and I'm not a shipping person, is that it's going to take more than a month because just the backlog of ships that will have to get through, be cleared, and it's still not absolutely nailed down whether this is just going to be free navigation or whether there is going to be some kind of controls by the Iranians and the Omanis.

it's going to take a while.

So I think the impact in terms of inflation is going to be real.

I remember seeing the men who runs the International Energy Authority, which is the sort of governing body around this area, said we will be in the red zone if this is not sorted by July.

And I think it will be, but it's going to take at least a month to get this backlog of ships through the strait.

Well, yes, and you've got to remember that the Iranian regime we now have is probably more hardline than the one that existed before the war because the Islamic Revenue got

Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps are at the heart of this new government and they're calling the shots as they would during the war.

I mean, it's potential.

uh there's a potential that the politics of iran will change quite radically when the war ends but i think that's unlikely i mean in a way there's been a sort of um security blanket been placed over iran there's no you know access to the internet and very few people know exactly how iranians are struggling through with this incredible levels of inflation particularly food inflation