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Paul Krugman

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
462 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman Talks Economic Impact of US Government Shutdown

And we do worry a lot.

Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman Talks Economic Impact of US Government Shutdown

I mean, there's been a problem with declining response rates and understaffed BLS even before.

Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman Talks Economic Impact of US Government Shutdown

So the data quality is going to be a real issue.

Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman Talks Economic Impact of US Government Shutdown

And we're all looking at

Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman Talks Economic Impact of US Government Shutdown

The soft data, the private surveys, all of which none of which says that the economy is falling off a cliff, but a lot of which is at least a little bit alarming.

Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman Talks Economic Impact of US Government Shutdown

And I'm particularly struck.

Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman Talks Economic Impact of US Government Shutdown

I've been looking at conference board on our jobs, you know, plentiful or are they hard to get?

Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman Talks Economic Impact of US Government Shutdown

And that number hasn't fallen off a cliff.

Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman Talks Economic Impact of US Government Shutdown

People feel really, really bad about job prospects right now in ways that the BLS numbers weren't showing before, but does suggest a kind of frozen labor market in which people, you know, if you're young, just getting in, or if you've been laid off, it's a really tough world out there.

Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman Talks Economic Impact of US Government Shutdown

So this is going to be, I mean, it doesn't look like

Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman Talks Economic Impact of US Government Shutdown

It doesn't look like September 2008 with everything falling off a cliff, but it does kind of feel like this is starting to feel like a tough economy.

Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman Talks Economic Impact of US Government Shutdown

And as I said, people, ordinary people are extremely pessimistic about the state of affairs.

Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman Talks Economic Impact of US Government Shutdown

No, it's a terrible idea.

Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman Talks Economic Impact of US Government Shutdown

I mean, we have an enormous budget deficit.

Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman Talks Economic Impact of US Government Shutdown

The tariff revenue, which is, by the way, coming in substantially below what Trump administration officials said it was going to be.

Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman Talks Economic Impact of US Government Shutdown

It's substantial, but it's not what they said it would be.

Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman Talks Economic Impact of US Government Shutdown

It just makes a small dent in the enormous deficit.

Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman Talks Economic Impact of US Government Shutdown

The fundamental fact is that the U.S.

Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman Talks Economic Impact of US Government Shutdown

government is spending in ways that, you know, I've been a long-time...

Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman Talks Economic Impact of US Government Shutdown

dove in terms of concerns about federal debt.