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Paul Kudrowski

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
457 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

It doesn't change my income.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

So we're seeing for the first time over the last six, seven months, the beginnings of a wave of these special purpose vehicles and other more exotic financing structures.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

We're seeing the equivalence of some of the old collateralized debt obligations emerge where there's tradable debt interests in data centers.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

These are all, for me, the beginning of the sign that the bubble is becoming tired because the market is beginning to punish.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

At least there's perception that the market will punish me if I continue to keep this on my income statement.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

So I won't.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

I'll move it somewhere else.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

And that makes the entire process much more opaque.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

It's

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

almost obfuscatory in terms of preventing people from understanding it.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

Like, how do I go through all these, the footnotes of all of these statements?

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

And so that for me is, that's the thing to watch.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

People get hung up on, I think, a lot of the wrong things in terms of trying to assess what's going on.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

Like, for example, is the rental rate of GPUs now competitive in terms of the actual costs of running the center?

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

These are good things to look at, comparing your costs to your rental rates, but look at it from the company's standpoint.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

How hard are they trying to hide the expenditure?

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

And for me, that's the factor to watch, and it's just begun accelerating.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

So the idea, obviously, is you can look at it from a couple of different ways.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

One is that the private credit firms, the Apollos and others, want a stake in data centers, but they also want their stake in data centers to be in a data center that has built-in customers.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

So from their standpoint, I can write a large check, and if I partner with a Meta or a Google or whoever, there's a high likelihood that immediately people will be using it.