Peter McAllister
๐ค SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
So for me, we're really in that situation where we have to trust that the people that are leading the industry are doing it with a good heart and a good intent.
And that's where it gets scary from my perspective.
Yeah, so the lily pad situation is one taken from nature where if you've got a lily on a pond and it doubles in size every day,
Typically, no one's going to notice that change for weeks.
But then when it gets to the point where it's covered 10% of the pond and then it's 20 and then it's 40 and then it's 80 and then it's the whole thing in a very short period of time, that's the kind of thing where those effects suddenly get noticed.
And people don't notice those effects in the small stage because they're looking at it and going, I'm expecting to see this.
I'm seeing that my confirmation bias says everything is working perfectly.
There's some anomalies over there.
Confirmation bias says I'm going to ignore them because it's working perfectly over there.
So the risk is there and really important that we go there.
Bad data, bad outcomes should be looked at and examined very, very carefully because they are the early warning sign.
And as I said before, this thing's running at a thousand miles an hour.
So once it's done something small wrong, it's going to get to something larger on very, very quickly.
Yeah, so with that, as you said, with the book, yeah, there's the 16 weeks before the destruction of Earth and the mix-up is caused by a standard mix-up between America, sorry, America, and every other country in the world.
Um, when we're talking about metric systems and date formats and those kinds of bits and pieces, and it's, it's a mistake I've made in the past, and I'm sure it's a mistake that's going to happen in the future.
But while those sorts of things are possible, um, these sorts of things are possible.
It's probably not a very good sentence, but I think, you know what I mean?
Yeah.
I think the probability is higher because we make way more mistakes than we ever admit to.
So from that perspective, I think the probability is, is, is much, much higher in my view of the world.