Peter Thiel
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Yeah, I think there still are... We still have a pretty crazy geopolitical race with China, to come back to that. Sure. You know, the natural development of drone technology in the military context is you need to take the human out of the loop because the human can get jammed. Sure. And so you need to put an AI on the drone.
And so there sort of are... And all these things, you know, there's a logic to them, but there doesn't seem to be a good endgame.
And so there sort of are... And all these things, you know, there's a logic to them, but there doesn't seem to be a good endgame.
And so there sort of are... And all these things, you know, there's a logic to them, but there doesn't seem to be a good endgame.
Man, do you think theβ And I think all these things are very overdetermined. Do you think that the collapse in birth rates, you know, it could be plastics, but isn't it just a feature of late modernity?
Man, do you think theβ And I think all these things are very overdetermined. Do you think that the collapse in birth rates, you know, it could be plastics, but isn't it just a feature of late modernity?
Man, do you think theβ And I think all these things are very overdetermined. Do you think that the collapse in birth rates, you know, it could be plastics, but isn't it just a feature of late modernity?
I'm always β let me think β I think the why, why have birth rates collapsed is it's probably... It's, again, an overdetermined story. It's the plastics. It's the screens. It's certain ways children are not compatible with having a career in late modernity. Probably our economics of it, where people can't afford houses or space.
I'm always β let me think β I think the why, why have birth rates collapsed is it's probably... It's, again, an overdetermined story. It's the plastics. It's the screens. It's certain ways children are not compatible with having a career in late modernity. Probably our economics of it, where people can't afford houses or space.
I'm always β let me think β I think the why, why have birth rates collapsed is it's probably... It's, again, an overdetermined story. It's the plastics. It's the screens. It's certain ways children are not compatible with having a career in late modernity. Probably our economics of it, where people can't afford houses or space.
But I'm probably always a little bit more anchored on the social and cultural dimensions of this stuff. And again, the imitation version of this is β and it's sort of conserved across β people are below the replacement rate. In all 50 states of the U.S., even Mormon, Utah, the average woman has less than two kids. Iran is below that. Italy, way below it. South Korea.
But I'm probably always a little bit more anchored on the social and cultural dimensions of this stuff. And again, the imitation version of this is β and it's sort of conserved across β people are below the replacement rate. In all 50 states of the U.S., even Mormon, Utah, the average woman has less than two kids. Iran is below that. Italy, way below it. South Korea.
But I'm probably always a little bit more anchored on the social and cultural dimensions of this stuff. And again, the imitation version of this is β and it's sort of conserved across β people are below the replacement rate. In all 50 states of the U.S., even Mormon, Utah, the average woman has less than two kids. Iran is below that. Italy, way below it. South Korea.
It's all these very different types of societies. And then Israel is still sort of a weird exception. And then if you ask, you know, my sort of... simplistic, somewhat circular explanation would be, you know, people have kids if other people have kids, and they stop having kids when other people stop having kids.
It's all these very different types of societies. And then Israel is still sort of a weird exception. And then if you ask, you know, my sort of... simplistic, somewhat circular explanation would be, you know, people have kids if other people have kids, and they stop having kids when other people stop having kids.
It's all these very different types of societies. And then Israel is still sort of a weird exception. And then if you ask, you know, my sort of... simplistic, somewhat circular explanation would be, you know, people have kids if other people have kids, and they stop having kids when other people stop having kids.
And so there's a dimension of it that's just, you know, if you're a 27-year-old woman in Israel, you better get married and you have to keep up with your other friends that are having kids. And if you don't, you're just like a weirdo who doesn't fit into society or something like that.
And so there's a dimension of it that's just, you know, if you're a 27-year-old woman in Israel, you better get married and you have to keep up with your other friends that are having kids. And if you don't, you're just like a weirdo who doesn't fit into society or something like that.
And so there's a dimension of it that's just, you know, if you're a 27-year-old woman in Israel, you better get married and you have to keep up with your other friends that are having kids. And if you don't, you're just like a weirdo who doesn't fit into society or something like that.
And then if you're in South Korea where I think the total fertility rate is like 0.7, it's like one-third of the replacement rate. Wow. Like every generation is going down by two-thirds or something like this. Right. Really heading towards extinction pretty fast. Yeah. It is something like probably none of your friends are doing it.