Peter Thiel

And then if you're in South Korea where I think the total fertility rate is like 0.7, it's like one-third of the replacement rate. Wow. Like every generation is going down by two-thirds or something like this. Right. Really heading towards extinction pretty fast. Yeah. It is something like probably none of your friends are doing it.

And then if you're in South Korea where I think the total fertility rate is like 0.7, it's like one-third of the replacement rate. Wow. Like every generation is going down by two-thirds or something like this. Right. Really heading towards extinction pretty fast. Yeah. It is something like probably none of your friends are doing it.

And then probably there are ways it shifts the politics in a very, very deep way where once you get an inverted demographic pyramid where you have way more old people than young people, At some point, there's always a question, do you vote for benefits for the old or for the very young? Do you spend money so Johnny can read or so grandma can have a spare leg?

And then probably there are ways it shifts the politics in a very, very deep way where once you get an inverted demographic pyramid where you have way more old people than young people, At some point, there's always a question, do you vote for benefits for the old or for the very young? Do you spend money so Johnny can read or so grandma can have a spare leg?

And then probably there are ways it shifts the politics in a very, very deep way where once you get an inverted demographic pyramid where you have way more old people than young people, At some point, there's always a question, do you vote for benefits for the old or for the very young? Do you spend money so Johnny can read or so grandma can have a spare leg?

And once the demographic flips and you get this inverted pyramid, maybe the politics shifts in a very deep way where the people with kids get penalized more and more economically. It just costs more and more. And then the old people without kids... just vote more and more benefits for themselves effectively. And then it just sort of, you know, once it flips, it may be very hard to reverse.

And once the demographic flips and you get this inverted pyramid, maybe the politics shifts in a very deep way where the people with kids get penalized more and more economically. It just costs more and more. And then the old people without kids... just vote more and more benefits for themselves effectively. And then it just sort of, you know, once it flips, it may be very hard to reverse.

And once the demographic flips and you get this inverted pyramid, maybe the politics shifts in a very deep way where the people with kids get penalized more and more economically. It just costs more and more. And then the old people without kids... just vote more and more benefits for themselves effectively. And then it just sort of, you know, once it flips, it may be very hard to reverse.

I looked at all these sort of heterodox demographers, but I'm blanking on the name, but there was sort of a set of Um, where, you know, it's like, what are the longterm demographic projections?

I looked at all these sort of heterodox demographers, but I'm blanking on the name, but there was sort of a set of Um, where, you know, it's like, what are the longterm demographic projections?

I looked at all these sort of heterodox demographers, but I'm blanking on the name, but there was sort of a set of Um, where, you know, it's like, what are the longterm demographic projections?

And there's this, uh, you know, if, if, if, you know, there are 8 billion people on the planet and, you know, if every woman has not two babies, but one baby, then every generation's half the previous than the next generation's 4 billion. And then, and then people think, well, it's just going to, it'll eventually, you'll have women who want more kids and it'll just, it'll

And there's this, uh, you know, if, if, if, you know, there are 8 billion people on the planet and, you know, if every woman has not two babies, but one baby, then every generation's half the previous than the next generation's 4 billion. And then, and then people think, well, it's just going to, it'll eventually, you'll have women who want more kids and it'll just, it'll

And there's this, uh, you know, if, if, if, you know, there are 8 billion people on the planet and, you know, if every woman has not two babies, but one baby, then every generation's half the previous than the next generation's 4 billion. And then, and then people think, well, it's just going to, it'll eventually, you'll have women who want more kids and it'll just, it'll

get a smaller population, then it will bounce back. Yeah, one of the Japanese demographers I was looking at on this a few years ago, his thesis was, no, once it flips, it doesn't flip back because you've changed all the politics to where people get disincentive. And so, and then you should just extrapolate this as the permanent birth rate. And if it's

get a smaller population, then it will bounce back. Yeah, one of the Japanese demographers I was looking at on this a few years ago, his thesis was, no, once it flips, it doesn't flip back because you've changed all the politics to where people get disincentive. And so, and then you should just extrapolate this as the permanent birth rate. And if it's

get a smaller population, then it will bounce back. Yeah, one of the Japanese demographers I was looking at on this a few years ago, his thesis was, no, once it flips, it doesn't flip back because you've changed all the politics to where people get disincentive. And so, and then you should just extrapolate this as the permanent birth rate. And if it's

If it's one on average of one baby per woman and you have a having and then it's in 33 generations, two to the 33rd is about eight billion. And if every generation is 30 years, 30 times 33 is 990 years. In 990 years, you'd predict there'd be one person left on the planet. Jesus Christ. And then we'd go extinct if there's only one person left. That doesn't work.

If it's one on average of one baby per woman and you have a having and then it's in 33 generations, two to the 33rd is about eight billion. And if every generation is 30 years, 30 times 33 is 990 years. In 990 years, you'd predict there'd be one person left on the planet. Jesus Christ. And then we'd go extinct if there's only one person left. That doesn't work.

If it's one on average of one baby per woman and you have a having and then it's in 33 generations, two to the 33rd is about eight billion. And if every generation is 30 years, 30 times 33 is 990 years. In 990 years, you'd predict there'd be one person left on the planet. Jesus Christ. And then we'd go extinct if there's only one person left. That doesn't work.