Peter Thiel
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Appearances Over Time
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And those were sort of like, say, two extreme competing visions of what AI would mean in the 2010s and that sort of maybe were sort of the anchors of the AI debate. And then, you know, what happened?
And those were sort of like, say, two extreme competing visions of what AI would mean in the 2010s and that sort of maybe were sort of the anchors of the AI debate. And then, you know, what happened?
And those were sort of like, say, two extreme competing visions of what AI would mean in the 2010s and that sort of maybe were sort of the anchors of the AI debate. And then, you know, what happened?
in some sense with ChatGPT in late 22, early 23, was that the achievement you got, you did not get superintelligence, it was not just surveillance tech, but you actually got to the holy grail of what people would have defined AI as from 1950 to 2000. 2010, for the previous 60 years before the 2010s, people have always said AI, the definition of AI is passing the Turing test.
in some sense with ChatGPT in late 22, early 23, was that the achievement you got, you did not get superintelligence, it was not just surveillance tech, but you actually got to the holy grail of what people would have defined AI as from 1950 to 2000. 2010, for the previous 60 years before the 2010s, people have always said AI, the definition of AI is passing the Turing test.
in some sense with ChatGPT in late 22, early 23, was that the achievement you got, you did not get superintelligence, it was not just surveillance tech, but you actually got to the holy grail of what people would have defined AI as from 1950 to 2000. 2010, for the previous 60 years before the 2010s, people have always said AI, the definition of AI is passing the Turing test.
And the Turing test, it basically means that the computer can fool you into thinking that it's a human being. And it's a somewhat fuzzy test because obviously you have an expert on the computer, a non-expert. Does it fool you all the time or some of the time? How good is it? But to first approximation, the Turing test, we weren't even close to passing it in 2021.
And the Turing test, it basically means that the computer can fool you into thinking that it's a human being. And it's a somewhat fuzzy test because obviously you have an expert on the computer, a non-expert. Does it fool you all the time or some of the time? How good is it? But to first approximation, the Turing test, we weren't even close to passing it in 2021.
And the Turing test, it basically means that the computer can fool you into thinking that it's a human being. And it's a somewhat fuzzy test because obviously you have an expert on the computer, a non-expert. Does it fool you all the time or some of the time? How good is it? But to first approximation, the Turing test, we weren't even close to passing it in 2021.
And then ChatGPT basically passes the Turing test, at least for like, let's say an IQ 100 average person. It's passed the Turing test. And that was the holy grail. That was the holy grail of AI research for the previous 60 years.
And then ChatGPT basically passes the Turing test, at least for like, let's say an IQ 100 average person. It's passed the Turing test. And that was the holy grail. That was the holy grail of AI research for the previous 60 years.
And then ChatGPT basically passes the Turing test, at least for like, let's say an IQ 100 average person. It's passed the Turing test. And that was the holy grail. That was the holy grail of AI research for the previous 60 years.
And so there's probably some psychological or sociological history where you can say that this weird debate between Bostrom about superintelligence and Kai-Fu Lee about surveillance tech was like this almost like psychological suppression people had, where they were not thinking, they lost track of the Turing Test, of the Holy Grail, because it was about to happen.
And so there's probably some psychological or sociological history where you can say that this weird debate between Bostrom about superintelligence and Kai-Fu Lee about surveillance tech was like this almost like psychological suppression people had, where they were not thinking, they lost track of the Turing Test, of the Holy Grail, because it was about to happen.
And so there's probably some psychological or sociological history where you can say that this weird debate between Bostrom about superintelligence and Kai-Fu Lee about surveillance tech was like this almost like psychological suppression people had, where they were not thinking, they lost track of the Turing Test, of the Holy Grail, because it was about to happen.
And it was such a significant, such an important thing that you didn't even want to think about. So I'm tempted to give almost a psychological repression theory of the 2010 debates, but Be that as it may, the Turing test gets passed and that's an extraordinary achievement. Then where does it go from here? There probably are ways you can refine these.
And it was such a significant, such an important thing that you didn't even want to think about. So I'm tempted to give almost a psychological repression theory of the 2010 debates, but Be that as it may, the Turing test gets passed and that's an extraordinary achievement. Then where does it go from here? There probably are ways you can refine these.
And it was such a significant, such an important thing that you didn't even want to think about. So I'm tempted to give almost a psychological repression theory of the 2010 debates, but Be that as it may, the Turing test gets passed and that's an extraordinary achievement. Then where does it go from here? There probably are ways you can refine these.
It's still going to be a long time to apply it. There is a question. There's this AGI discussion. Will we get artificial general intelligence, which is a hopelessly vague concept, which general intelligence could be just a generally smart human being. So is that just a person with an IQ of 130? Or is it superintelligence? Is it godlike intelligence? So it's sort of an ambiguous thing.
It's still going to be a long time to apply it. There is a question. There's this AGI discussion. Will we get artificial general intelligence, which is a hopelessly vague concept, which general intelligence could be just a generally smart human being. So is that just a person with an IQ of 130? Or is it superintelligence? Is it godlike intelligence? So it's sort of an ambiguous thing.