Peter Thiel

It's still going to be a long time to apply it. There is a question. There's this AGI discussion. Will we get artificial general intelligence, which is a hopelessly vague concept, which general intelligence could be just a generally smart human being. So is that just a person with an IQ of 130? Or is it superintelligence? Is it godlike intelligence? So it's sort of an ambiguous thing.

But I keep thinking that maybe the AGI question is less important than passing the Turing test. If we got AGI, if we got, let's say, superintelligence, that would be interesting to Mr. God because you'd have competition for being God. But surely the Turing test is more important for us humans. Because it's either a compliment or a substitute to humans.

But I keep thinking that maybe the AGI question is less important than passing the Turing test. If we got AGI, if we got, let's say, superintelligence, that would be interesting to Mr. God because you'd have competition for being God. But surely the Turing test is more important for us humans. Because it's either a compliment or a substitute to humans.

But I keep thinking that maybe the AGI question is less important than passing the Turing test. If we got AGI, if we got, let's say, superintelligence, that would be interesting to Mr. God because you'd have competition for being God. But surely the Turing test is more important for us humans. Because it's either a compliment or a substitute to humans.

And so it's going to rearrange the economic, cultural, political structure of our society in extremely dramatic ways. And I think maybe what's already happened is much more important than anything else that's going to be done. And then it's just going to be a long ways in applying it. One last thought. You know, the...

And so it's going to rearrange the economic, cultural, political structure of our society in extremely dramatic ways. And I think maybe what's already happened is much more important than anything else that's going to be done. And then it's just going to be a long ways in applying it. One last thought. You know, the...

And so it's going to rearrange the economic, cultural, political structure of our society in extremely dramatic ways. And I think maybe what's already happened is much more important than anything else that's going to be done. And then it's just going to be a long ways in applying it. One last thought. You know, the...

The analogy I'm always tempted to go to, and these historical analogies are never perfect, but it's that maybe... AI in 2023-24 is like the Internet in 1999, where on one level, it's clear the Internet's going to be big and get a lot bigger, and it's going to dominate the economy. It's going to rearrange the society in the 21st century. And then at the same time, it was a complete bubble.

The analogy I'm always tempted to go to, and these historical analogies are never perfect, but it's that maybe... AI in 2023-24 is like the Internet in 1999, where on one level, it's clear the Internet's going to be big and get a lot bigger, and it's going to dominate the economy. It's going to rearrange the society in the 21st century. And then at the same time, it was a complete bubble.

The analogy I'm always tempted to go to, and these historical analogies are never perfect, but it's that maybe... AI in 2023-24 is like the Internet in 1999, where on one level, it's clear the Internet's going to be big and get a lot bigger, and it's going to dominate the economy. It's going to rearrange the society in the 21st century. And then at the same time, it was a complete bubble.

And people had no idea how the business models worked. Almost everything blew up. It didn't take that long in the scheme of things. It took 15, 20 years for it to become super dominant. But it didn't happen sort of in 18 months as people fantasized in 1999. And maybe what we have in AI is something like this.

And people had no idea how the business models worked. Almost everything blew up. It didn't take that long in the scheme of things. It took 15, 20 years for it to become super dominant. But it didn't happen sort of in 18 months as people fantasized in 1999. And maybe what we have in AI is something like this.

And people had no idea how the business models worked. Almost everything blew up. It didn't take that long in the scheme of things. It took 15, 20 years for it to become super dominant. But it didn't happen sort of in 18 months as people fantasized in 1999. And maybe what we have in AI is something like this.

Figuring out how to actually apply it in sort of all these different ways is going to take something like two decades. But that doesn't distract from it being a really big deal.

Figuring out how to actually apply it in sort of all these different ways is going to take something like two decades. But that doesn't distract from it being a really big deal.

Figuring out how to actually apply it in sort of all these different ways is going to take something like two decades. But that doesn't distract from it being a really big deal.

Yeah. I've often, probably for 15 years or so, often been on the side that there isn't that much progress in science or tech or not as much as Silicon Valley likes to claim. And even on the AI level, I think it's a massive technical achievement. It's still an open question. Is it actually going to lead to much higher living standards for everybody? The internet was a massive achievement.

Yeah. I've often, probably for 15 years or so, often been on the side that there isn't that much progress in science or tech or not as much as Silicon Valley likes to claim. And even on the AI level, I think it's a massive technical achievement. It's still an open question. Is it actually going to lead to much higher living standards for everybody? The internet was a massive achievement.

Yeah. I've often, probably for 15 years or so, often been on the side that there isn't that much progress in science or tech or not as much as Silicon Valley likes to claim. And even on the AI level, I think it's a massive technical achievement. It's still an open question. Is it actually going to lead to much higher living standards for everybody? The internet was a massive achievement.

How much did it raise people's living standards? much trickier question. But in this world where not much has happened, one of the paradoxes of an era of relative tech stagnation is that when something does happen, we don't even know how to process it. So I think Bitcoin was a It was a big invention, whether it was good or bad, but it was a pretty big deal.