Quill Lawrence
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Appearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
We spoke to one analyst who said, yes, of course, a deal is better than war, but without any details, it's hard to say.
For example, will there be international inspectors who will go in to see if Iran is just maintaining a peaceful nuclear infrastructure, not a weapons program?
Will the U.S.
unfreeze billions of dollars in frozen Iranian assets?
Those were all factors in a deal forged during the Obama administration that President Trump scrapped in his first term.
He called it a bad deal.
The unfreezing of these assets is something the Iranians apparently are insisting on this time.
But we don't know to what extent President Trump will essentially rebuild the JCPOA.
That was the deal that was hammered out into the Obama administration.
Yes, it's a 10-day ceasefire.
But the most important distinction is that Israel may have made a peace deal with a Lebanese government.
It's not clear they've made a peace deal with Hezbollah, the Iranian-backed Shiite militia army, the entity that was at war with Israel.
So that militant group has said it won't accept any deal.
President Trump has urged them to, quote, act nicely.
Hezbollah says Israel can't have any freedom of movement in Lebanon, but Israeli forces are in southern Lebanon right now.
They say they're there to prevent Hezbollah from firing rockets and missiles into Israel.
And meanwhile, there's a huge buildup of U.S.
forces in the region.
One U.S.
carrier group actually took the ancient route around the length of Africa instead of going through the Suez Canal to get there, which I think tells you a lot about the current state of safety of navigation in the region.